Fossombrone vs Tivoli Calcio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio
Result
1:3
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Fossombrone
54.9%
Draw
26.2%
Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.64)
    4.72
    (6.6)
    11.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare22003:126
    2Notaresco Calcio21105:234
    3L Aquila21105:324
    4Giulianova21103:214
    5Teramo21102:114
    6Vigor Senigallia21102:114
    7Recanatese21015:503
    8Ancona21013:303
    9Sammaurese21014:5-13
    10Calcio Chieti20204:402
    11Atletico Ascoli20203:302
    12Unipomezia20202:202
    13Fossombrone20202:202
    14Sora20114:5-11
    15Termoli10012:3-10
    16San Marino Calcio10011:3-20
    17Maceratese20021:3-20
    18Castelfidardo20021:4-30

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation