Fossombrone vs Tivoli Calcio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio
Result
1:3
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Fossombrone
54.9%
Draw
26.2%
Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.64)
    4.72
    (6.6)
    11.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare660011:3818
    2Ancona650110:4615
    3L Aquila642016:61014
    4Teramo642012:5714
    5Notaresco Calcio641112:7513
    6Calcio Chieti624011:8310
    7Termoli62229:908
    8Unipomezia62228:11-38
    9Fossombrone61416:607
    10Vigor Senigallia62135:8-37
    11Maceratese62046:7-16
    12Giulianova61325:8-36
    13Atletico Ascoli61238:10-25
    14Sora61237:9-25
    15Recanatese61147:12-54
    16Sammaurese61145:10-54
    17San Marino Calcio61054:11-73
    18Castelfidardo60153:11-81

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation