Fossombrone vs Tivoli Calcio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Fossombrone
54.9%
Draw
26.2%
Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.64)
    4.72
    (6.6)
    11.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation