Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 3
- Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/445) | 76% (298/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/445) | 76% (298/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (100/134) | 60% (76/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, McLagan K. (Own goal),
- 22', 2 - 0, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, Bystrom J. ⚽, Chopart K. (A),
- 44', Jonsson K. 🟨,
- 45+3', McLagan K. 🟨,
- 45+4', 3 - 1, Jonsson K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jonsson K. ↓, Omarsson O. ↑,
- 50', Muminovic D. ↓, Orrason A. ↑,
- 53', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
- 53', Tibbling S. ↓, Hauksson R. ↑,
- 59', Runarsson S. 🟨,
- 74', Thorbjornsson T. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
- 74', Bystrom J. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
- 78', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
- 78', Ludviksson A. ↓, Thomsen T. ↑,
- 78', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
- 84', Garcia I. 🟨,
- 87', Omarsson O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Breiðablik
66.7% | Draw
18.1% | Fram
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fram might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fram could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Breiðablik - Fram Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.67) |
6.11 ↑
(4.28) |
7.44 ↑
(4.27) |
-5.8%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Fram?
Users Predictions:
Breiðablik will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Breiðablik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 2.
- Breiðablik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fram has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Breiðablik has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Breiðablik is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breiðablik won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Fram?
Breiðablik has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Breiðablik?
Fram has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Fram were as follows:
23.06.2025
Breiðablik
-
Fram
1:1
13.04.2025
Fram
-
Breiðablik
4:2
04.02.2025
Breiðablik
-
Fram
1:3
19.08.2024
Breiðablik
-
Fram
3:1
26.05.2024
Fram
-
Breiðablik
1:4
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | Valur | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 57:40 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 47:41 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Fram | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
