Result
1:1
23/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 12
- Referee: Stefansson A. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/537) | 76% (267/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/537) | 76% (267/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 24% (15/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (149/186) | 65% (58/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Dimitrijevic V. ⚽, Chopart K. (A),
- 52', Chopart K. 🟨,
- 70', Hauksson R. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
- 77', Asgrimsson H. 🟨,
- 77', Einarsson V. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 82', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
- 83', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
- 86', Omarsson O. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 90', Thomsen T. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. (Pen),
- 90+2', Thorbjornsson T. ↓, Adalsteinsson A. ↑,
- 90+4', Sigurdsson V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Breiðablik
57.6% | Draw
21.1% | Fram
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Breiðablik's form might have worsened.Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fram's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breiðablik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fram, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Breiðablik - Fram Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.44) |
4.37 ↓
(4.96) |
4.34 ↓
(5.79) |
8.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Fram?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Fram will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 67.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 50%). Fram (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Fram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Breiðablik is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breiðablik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 2.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Fram?
Breiðablik has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Breiðablik?
Fram has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Fram were as follows:
13.04.2025
Fram
-
Breiðablik
4:2
04.02.2025
Breiðablik
-
Fram
1:3
19.08.2024
Breiðablik
-
Fram
3:1
26.05.2024
Fram
-
Breiðablik
1:4
14.07.2023
Fram
-
Breiðablik
0:1
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 8 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 9 | Afturelding | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Hafnarfjordur | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Akranes | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
