Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/399) | 80% (306/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/399) | 80% (306/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 54% (38/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/124) | 56% (56/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Fred Saraiva ⚽, Asgrimsson H. (A),
- 57', 1 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Conteh A. (A),
- 58', Conteh A. ↓, Fridjonsson S. ↑,
- 58', Dankerlui D. ↓, Atlason E. ↑,
- 62', Chopart K. 🟨,
- 71', Bystrom J. ↓, Hauksson R. ↑,
- 73', Waren B. 🟨,
- 75', Bjarnason A. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 79', Fred Saraiva ↓, Dimitrijevic V. ↑,
- 86', Asgrimsson H. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
- 86', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
- 90+4', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fram
28.7% | Draw
23.1% | Stjarnan
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fram's form might have worsened.Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fram, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Fram - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.73) |
4.05 ↓
(4.12) |
1.94 ↓
(2.21) |
6.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Fram - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
Stjarnan will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fram won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Stjarnan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fram won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fram won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Stjarnan?
Fram has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Fram?
Stjarnan has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fram - Stjarnan were as follows:
06.08.2025
Fram
-
Stjarnan
1:1
10.05.2025
Stjarnan
-
Fram
2:0
06.08.2024
Fram
-
Stjarnan
2:1
10.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
Fram
1:1
26.07.2023
Stjarnan
-
Fram
4:0
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 58:31 | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | Valur ✔ | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 50:45 | 5 | 42 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | Fram | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Hafnarfjordur | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Valur is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
