Result
3:2 penalties
19/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/8-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Croce A. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Ciaramella A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, De Angelis P. ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 7, (Pen),
- 7, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Francavilla
43.8% | Draw
30% | Città di Fasano
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francavilla's performance.Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Città di Fasano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francavilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+24.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di Fasano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Francavilla - Città di Fasano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(4.06) |
4.17 ↑
(3.27) |
5.19 ↑
(1.81) |
-18.3%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Fasano is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Francavilla won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Francavilla won against Città di Fasano?
Francavilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Città di Fasano won against Francavilla?
Città di Fasano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francavilla - Città di Fasano were as follows:
02.11.2025
Città di Fasano
-
Francavilla
3:2
27.04.2025
Francavilla
-
Città di Fasano
2:0
05.03.2023
Città di Fasano
-
Francavilla
2:1
30.10.2022
Francavilla
-
Città di Fasano
2:0
Latest results of Francavilla
Latest results of Città di Fasano
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Asti | Chisola | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ligorna | NovaRomentin | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Vado | Sestri Levante | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Tau | Pistoiese | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Piacenza | SCD Progresso | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Pavia | Sant'Angelo | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Prato | Montevarchi | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Correggese | Imolese | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Sondrio | Breno | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | Club Milano | 2 : 3 |
| 11 | AC Milan U23 | Varesina | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Brusaporto | Ciserano-Bergamo | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Chievo | Rovato Vertovese | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Este | Vigasio | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Cjarlins Muzane | Brian Lignano | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Luparense | Mestre | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Fossombrone | Ancona | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Foligno | Atletico Ascoli | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Orvietana | Siena | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Follonica Gavorrano | Valmontone | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Notaresco Calcio | Termoli | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Albalonga | L Aquila | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Grosseto | Unipomezia | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Trastevere Calcio | Budoni | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Martina Calcio | Sarnese | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Ferrandina | Francavilla | 2 : 3 |
| 27 | Savoia | Paganese | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Citta di Fasano | Gravina | 3 : 0 |
| 29 | Nocerina | Gelbison | 4 : 2 |
| 30 | Sambiase | Reggina | 0 : 1 |
| 31 | Castrumfavara | Igea Virtus | 3 : 1 |
| 32 | Enna | Sancataldese | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Asti | NovaRomentin | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Vado | Pistoiese | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Piacenza | Pavia | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Prato | Correggese | 1 : 4 |
| 5 | Sondrio | Club Milano | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Varesina | Ciserano-Bergamo | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | Este | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Brian Lignano | Mestre | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Orvietana | Valmontone | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Notaresco Calcio | Albalonga | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Unipomezia | Trastevere Calcio | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Martina Calcio | Francavilla | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Savoia | Citta di Fasano | 3 : 4 |
| 15 | Nocerina | Reggina | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Castrumfavara | Sancataldese | 3 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Asti | Pistoiese | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Piacenza | Correggese | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Club Milano | Varesina | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Este | Mestre | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ancona | Valmontone | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | Unipomezia | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Francavilla | Citta di Fasano | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Nocerina | Castrumfavara | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pistoiese | Correggese | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Club Milano | Mestre | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ancona | Unipomezia | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Francavilla | Nocerina | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pistoiese | Club Milano | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ancona | Francavilla | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
