France vs Portugal, UEFA Futsal Euro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
04/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UEFA Futsal Euro - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
brazilBrazilDisney+
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
polandPolandTVP Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', Toure M. (G),
  • 11', Rezzoug M. 🟨,
  • 18', Santos D. (G),
  • 19', Paco T. (G),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', Tchaptchet A. 🟨,
  • 26', Brito T. 🟨,
  • 29', Mendonca E. (G),
  • 31', Mouhoudine S. 🟨,
  • 34', Toure M. 🟨,
  • 34:07, Gueddoura A. (Own Goal),

Chances of winning


France
15%
Draw
15.3%
Portugal
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 16.5% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 15.2% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • France - Portugal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.16
    (4.62)
    6.01
    (5.57)
    1.32
    (1.44)
    8.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for France - Portugal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Portugal (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Portugal (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portugal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portugal (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • France is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portugal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • France may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Portugal is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, France won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).
    Latest results of France
    31.01.2026 France - Ukraine 4:2
    28.01.2026 Georgia - France 1:3
    25.01.2026 France - Latvia 5:0
    21.01.2026 Croatia - France 2:2
    15.01.2026 France - Belgium 5:5
    Latest results of Portugal
    01.02.2026 Portugal - Belgium 8:2
    29.01.2026 Portugal - Poland 3:2
    27.01.2026 Hungary - Portugal 1:5
    24.01.2026 Italy - Portugal 2:6
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1France (A1)Ukraine (B2)4 : 2
    2Portugal (D1)Belgium (C2)8 : 2
    3Armenia (B1)Croatia (A2)0 : 3
    4Spain (C1)Italy (D2)4 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1France (A1)Portugal (D1)1 : 4
    2Croatia (A2)Spain (C1)1 : 2

    Final
    1Portugal (D1)Spain (C1)3 : 5

    3rd place
    2France (A1)Croatia (A2)5 : 6