France vs South Africa, Rugby World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Rugby World Cup France - South Africa
Result
28:29
15/10/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: WORLD CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport, V Sport Urheilu
italyItalySky Sport Arena
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport
polandPolandPolsat Sport News
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport
worldWorldRan

Chances of winning


France
53.5%
Draw
4.5%
South Africa
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 4.5% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 4.1% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • France - South Africa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    20.75
    (20.4)
    2.22
    (2.11)
    6.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 41.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for France - South Africa?
  • Users Predictions: France will win (51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.25%90.65%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 1.
    • France in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • South Africa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's France to win the game is with odds 1.77.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches France won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 124-201.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between France - South Africa were as follows:
    12.11.2022 France - South Africa 30:26
    Latest results of France
    06.10.2023 France - Italy 60:7
    21.09.2023 France - Namibia 96:0
    14.09.2023 France - Uruguay 27:12
    08.09.2023 France - New Zealand 27:13
    27.08.2023 France - Australia 41:17
    Latest results of South Africa
    01.10.2023 South Africa - Tonga 49:18
    23.09.2023 South Africa - Ireland 8:13
    17.09.2023 South Africa - Romania 76:0
    10.09.2023 South Africa - Scotland 18:3
    25.08.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 7:35
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1WalesArgentina17 : 29
    2IrelandNew Zealand24 : 28
    3EnglandFiji30 : 24
    4FranceSouth Africa28 : 29

    Semi-finals
    1ArgentinaNew Zealand6 : 44
    2EnglandSouth Africa15 : 16

    Final
    1New ZealandSouth Africa11 : 12

    3rd place
    2ArgentinaEngland23 : 26