USA vs France, World Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo USA - France
Result
16:18 penalties
27/07/2023 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - 5TH-8TH PLACES - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


USA
53.6%
Draw
12.3%
France
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 12.3% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 13.7% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • USA - France Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    7.7
    (7.45)
    2.69
    (2.72)
    9.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for USA - France?
  • Users Predictions: USA will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 12:12.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches USA won 4.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • USA will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches USA won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 74-65.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA - France were as follows:
    10.03.2023 France - USA 9:12
    Latest results of USA
    25.07.2023 Hungary - USA 13:12
    23.07.2023 USA - Canada 13:10
    21.07.2023 USA - Greece 14:15
    19.07.2023 USA - Australia 16:8
    16.07.2023 Kazakhstan - USA 5:18
    Latest results of France
    25.07.2023 Spain - France 7:6
    23.07.2023 Australia - France 8:11
    21.07.2023 France - Canada 15:11
    18.07.2023 China - France 8:17
    17.07.2023 France - Italy 6:13
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ItalyBye
    2BrazilGreece5 : 17
    3SpainBye
    4CanadaMontenegro10 : 22
    5USABye
    6SerbiaJapan21 : 14
    7CroatiaBye
    8RomaniaHungary11 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGreece11 : 17
    2SpainMontenegro14 : 5
    3USASerbia9 : 14
    4CroatiaHungary12 : 18

    Semi-finals
    1GreeceSpain9 : 11
    2SerbiaHungary18 : 19

    Final
    1SpainHungary15 : 13

    3rd place
    2GreeceSerbia16 : 7