Francesco Forti vs Andrey Chepelev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
66%73%
1st serve points won
73% (41/56)63% (39/62)
2nd serve points won
59% (17/29)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
5/610/13
1st return points won
37% (23/62)27% (15/56)
2nd return points won
52% (12/23)41% (12/29)
Break Points Converted
3/131/6
Winners
439
Unforced errors
4725
Net points won
89% (8/9)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
68% (58/85)59% (50/85)
Return Points Won
41% (35/85)32% (27/85)
Total Points Won
55% (93/170)45% (77/170)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
93% (13/14)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)7% (1/14)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Francesco Forti
55.9%
Andrey Chepelev
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.
  • Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.82)

    2.11
    (1.88)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev?
  • Users Predictions: Francesco Forti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Forti is ranked ATP: 600. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 415.
    • Forti is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chepelev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Francesco Forti
    Latest results of Andrey Chepelev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2