Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (41/56) | 63% (39/62) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/6 | 10/13 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 27% (15/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 41% (12/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/13 | 1/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 43 | 9 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 47 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (58/85) | 59% (50/85) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (35/85) | 32% (27/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (93/170) | 45% (77/170) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 7% (1/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Francesco Forti 55.9% | Andrey Chepelev 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.82) |
|
2.11 ↑ (1.88) |
7.2% (8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev?
Users Predictions:
Francesco Forti will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Forti is ranked ATP: 600. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 415.
- Forti is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chepelev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Forti won against Andrey Chepelev?
Francesco Forti has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Chepelev won against Francesco Forti?
Andrey Chepelev has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev were as follows:
Latest results of Francesco Forti
Latest results of Andrey Chepelev
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Guerrieri A. (LL) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kukushkin M. | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Giustino L. | Jacquet K. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Wawrinka S. (4) | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Purtseladze S. | Ribecai M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bondioli F. (Q) | Blanchet U. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Barton H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakellaridis S. | Jorda Sanchis D. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Caniato C. A. (WC) | Vasami J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Paul J. (Q) | Muller A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Jianu F. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blancaneaux G. | Sachko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cina F. | Piraino G. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Forti F. (Q) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Guerrieri A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dalla Valle E. | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martineau M. | Ribecai M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Nagal S. | Bondioli F. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Caniato C. A. | Muller A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Sachko V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Cina F. | Forti F. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Dalla Valle E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ribecai M. | Bondioli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Muller A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sachko V. | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Medjedovic H. (5) | 0 : 2 |