Francesco Maestrelli vs August Holmgren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rovereto Challenger Men Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren
Result
2:1
23/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
58
Double Faults
46
1st Serve Percentage
59%71%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (36/46)71% (40/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (19/32)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
30% (17/56)22% (10/46)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)41% (13/32)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
71% (55/78)66% (52/79)
Return Points Won
34% (27/79)29% (23/78)
Total Points Won
52% (82/157)48% (75/157)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
46.3%
August Holmgren
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.
  • August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.39)

    1.75
    (1.51)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 284. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 197.
    • Maestrelli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Holmgren is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Holmgren will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Vincent Ruggeri S.2 : 1
    2Prizmic D.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Dalla Valle E.Agwi M. (Q)1 : 2
    4Maestrelli F. (WC)Herbert P. (5)2 : 0
    5Collignon R. (4)Masur D.0 : 2
    6Vatutin A. (Alt)Oradini G. (WC)2 : 0
    7Berrettini J. (WC)Arnaboldi F.1 : 2
    8Marie J.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    9Landaluce M. (6)Sels J.2 : 0
    10Brunold M. (Q)Jacquet K.1 : 2
    11Travaglia S.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    12Zapata Miralles B.Ritschard A. (3)2 : 0
    13Karol M. (LL)Prihodko O. (Q)0 : 2
    14Mikrut L.Feldbausch K. (Q)2 : 0
    15Pavel B. (Q)Rehberg M. H. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Fonio G.Nardi L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    2Agwi M.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Masur D.Vatutin A.0 : 2
    4Arnaboldi F.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M. (6)Jacquet K.2 : 0
    6Blancaneaux G.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 1
    7Prihodko O.Mikrut L.2 : 0
    8Rehberg M. H.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    2Vatutin A.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    3Landaluce M. (6)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Prihodko O.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Maestrelli F.Holmgren A. (8)2 : 1
    2Landaluce M. (6)Nardi L. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2