Corentin Denolly vs Francesco Maestrelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Francavilla Challenger Men Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli
Result
0:2
06/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
68%68%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (35/69)81% (34/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (18/32)35% (7/20)
Break Points Saved
67% (10/15)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
19% (8/42)49% (34/69)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (13/20)44% (14/32)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)33% (5/15)
Service Points Won
52% (53/101)66% (41/62)
Return Points Won
34% (21/62)48% (48/101)
Total Points Won
45% (74/163)55% (89/163)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Corentin Denolly
31%
Francesco Maestrelli
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.
  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Maestrelli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2)

    1.35
    (1.73)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli?
  • Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Denolly is ranked ATP: 272. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 296.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maestrelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Denolly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Francesco Maestrelli - Corentin Denolly 2:0
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly
    Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Preda L.2 : 0
    2Stricker D. (Alt)Jubb P.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K. (Alt)Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Cachin P. (Q)Trungelliti M. (5)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (3)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Paire B. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (WC)0 : 2
    8Albot R.Buse I. (8)2 : 0
    9Mena F. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Chidekh C. (Alt)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    11Barrere G.Ymer E. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Travaglia S. (Q)Karatsev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Lajal M. (7)Dalla Valle E. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Berrettini J. (Q)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Carboni L. (WC)Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Erhard M. (Alt)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Stricker D.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Trungelliti M. (5)2 : 0
    3Skatov T. (3)Paire B.0 : 2
    4Maestrelli F.Albot R.2 : 1
    5Vatutin A.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Ymer E.Karatsev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Lajal M. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    8Sanchez Jover C.Erhard M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    2Paire B.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Ymer E.2 : 1
    4Lajal M. (7)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Maestrelli F.1 : 1
    2Vacherot V.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Vacherot V.2 : 0