Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 73% (27/37) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 71% (10/14) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 24% (7/29) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 70% (16/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 73% (37/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (14/51) | 44% (23/52) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (43/103) | 58% (60/103) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Francesco Maestrelli
56.1% | Daniel Merida Aguilar
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.53) |
|
2.13 ↓
(2.34) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 3 - 60%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Games - Maestrelli (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 117. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 183.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Maestrelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Maestrelli won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Francesco Maestrelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Francesco Maestrelli?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Erhard M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. | Shelbayh A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Blanch D. (Q) | Vasami J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Onclin G. | Loffhagen G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Giustino L. (4) | Almazan Valiente I. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Damas M. | Faurel T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Callejon H. S. (WC) | Martin Tiffon P. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Willwerth B. (JR) | Llamas Ruiz P. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mmoh M. (7) | Kukushkin M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Colombo A. (Q) | Barranco Cosano J. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kachmazov A. (Alt) | Piraino G. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Fomin S. (Alt) | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Vasa I. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Huesler M. | Rincon D. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Sanchez Quilez A. (Q) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Samuel T. | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vasami J. | Loffhagen G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Giustino L. (4) | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Martin Tiffon P. | Llamas Ruiz P. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Mmoh M. (RET.) (7) | Barranco Cosano J. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Piraino G. | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Loffhagen G. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Giustino L. (4) | Martin Tiffon P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Barranco Cosano J. | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. (3) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
