Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
0%0%
1st serve points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd serve points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved
0/00/0
1st return points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
2nd return points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted
0/00/0
Winners
00
Unforced errors
00
Net points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Last 10 balls
00
Match points saved
00
Service games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Return games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Total games won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
29.4%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Maestrelli's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.57)

    1.33
    (1.45)
    6.3%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 113. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 101.
    • Maestrelli has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Merida Aguilar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2