Facundo Bagnis vs Francesco Maestrelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Antofagasta Challenger Men Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli
Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
70%63%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (45/61)72% (38/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (12/26)39% (12/31)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
28% (15/53)26% (16/61)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (19/31)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
66% (57/87)60% (50/84)
Return Points Won
40% (34/84)34% (30/87)
Total Points Won
53% (91/171)47% (80/171)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Facundo Bagnis
56%
Francesco Maestrelli
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Bagnis's performance.
  • Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Maestrelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Bagnis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Maestrelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.83)

    2.18
    (1.83)
    5.7%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli?
  • Users Predictions: Facundo Bagnis will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bagnis is ranked ATP: 431. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 154.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bagnis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli were as follows:
    22.07.2023 Francesco Maestrelli - Facundo Bagnis 0:2
    Latest results of Facundo Bagnis
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    3Soto M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    4Bagnis F. (WC)Maestrelli F. (5)2 : 1
    5Dellien H. (3)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Kicker N.Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Torres J. B. (Q)Neumayer L. (7)0 : 2
    9Thanos A. (LL)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    10Collarini A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    11Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Midon L.1 : 2
    12Olivieri G. A.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    13Habib H.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    14Nunez D. A. (WC)Zarate C. M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torrealba B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)Bagnis F.
    3Guillen Meza A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Diaz Acosta F.Neumayer L. (7)2 : 0
    5Thanos A.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    6Midon L.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    7Habib H.Zarate C. M.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gomez F. A.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Guillen Meza A.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    2Vallejo D.Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2