Francesco Maestrelli vs Justin Engel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
77%63%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (29/37)68% (27/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (8/11)38% (9/24)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
35% (14/40)22% (8/37)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (15/24)27% (3/11)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
77% (37/48)56% (36/64)
Return Points Won
44% (28/64)23% (11/48)
Total Points Won
58% (65/112)42% (47/112)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
05
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
51.1%
Justin Engel
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.
  • Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Justin Engel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justin Engel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.15)

    1.86
    (1.62)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Games - Maestrelli (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Justin Engel will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Justin Engel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Engel (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 157. Engel is ranked ATP: 195.
    • Maestrelli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Engel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel 2:0
    Latest results of Justin Engel
    20.11.2025 Mark Lajal - Justin Engel Engel J. walkover
    18.11.2025 Justin Engel - Hamish Stewart Stewart H. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki S. (1)Arnaboldi F. (LL)1 : 2
    2Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt)Fatic N.0 : 1
    3Travaglia S.Dodig M.2 : 1
    4Karol M. (Q)Pellegrino A. (6)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (4)Ribecai M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sciahbasi L. (WC)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    7Brunold M. (Alt)Zhukayev B.1 : 2
    8Topo M.Choinski J. (5)2 : 0
    9Maestrelli F. (8)Ruusuvuori E. (PR)2 : 1
    10Basile P. (WC)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    11Visker N. (LL)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    12Napolitano S. (PR)Virtanen O. (3)2 : 1
    13Lajal M. (7)Vatutin A. (LL)2 : 1
    14Engel J.Stewart H. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    15Donski A. (Q)Tabacco F. (WC)2 : 1
    16Guerrieri A. (Q)Harris B. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Arnaboldi F.Fatic N.2 : 1
    2Travaglia S.Karol M.2 : 0
    3Passaro F. (4)Sciahbasi L.2 : 0
    4Zhukayev B.Topo M.0 : 2
    5Maestrelli F. (8)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    6Visker N.Napolitano S.0 : 2
    7Lajal M. (7)Engel J. (WO.)
    8Donski A.Guerrieri A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Arnaboldi F.Travaglia S.0 : 2
    2Passaro F. (4)Topo M.0 : 2
    3Maestrelli F. (8)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Engel J.Guerrieri A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Topo M.0 : 2
    2Maestrelli F. (8)Engel J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Topo M.Maestrelli F. (8)1 : 2