Francesco Maestrelli vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Vicenza Challenger Men Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni
Result
0:2
26/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
62%73%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (28/45)61% (34/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (11/28)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
39% (22/56)38% (17/45)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)56% (5/9)
Winners
2816
Unforced Errors
3817
Net Points Won
77% (23/30)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
53% (39/73)58% (45/77)
Return Points Won
42% (32/77)47% (34/73)
Total Points Won
47% (71/150)53% (79/150)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
68.3%
Lorenzo Carboni
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.
  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.57)

    2.95
    (2.25)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 228. Carboni is ranked ATP: 559.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Maestrelli is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni 1:2
    23.04.2025 Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni 2:1
    Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    2Jianu F. C.Bondioli F. (Q)0 : 2
    3Schwaerzler J. J. (Q)Bueno G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Cecchinato M. (Q)Holmgren A. (8)2 : 0
    5Rodesch C. (3)Erhard M. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Klizan M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Mena F.Kovalik J.2 : 1
    8Hsu Y. H.Arnaboldi F. (7)2 : 0
    9Neumayer L. (6)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    10Onclin G.Skatov T.0 : 2
    11Pavlovic L.Castagnola L. (WC)1 : 2
    12Moro Canas A.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    13Ajdukovic D. (5)Roca Batalla O. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Durasovic V. (Alt)Vallejo D.1 : 2
    15Maestrelli F. (WC)Carboni L. (WC)0 : 2
    16Shelbayh A. (RET.) (Alt)Kym J. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    3Rodesch C. (3)Klizan M.2 : 0
    4Mena F.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0
    5Neumayer L. (6)Skatov T.2 : 1
    6Castagnola L.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Ajdukovic D. (5)Vallejo D.2 : 0
    8Carboni L.Kym J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    2Rodesch C. (3)Mena F.2 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (6)Buse I. (4)2 : 1
    4Ajdukovic D. (5)Kym J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Rodesch C. (3)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L. (WO.) (6)Kym J. (2)

    Final
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Neumayer L. (6)2 : 0