Result
0:2
26/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 61% (34/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 52% (11/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 38% (17/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 73% (8/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 58% (45/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 47% (34/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (71/150) | 53% (79/150) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 73% (8/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 50% (5/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 62% (13/21) |
Chances of winning
Francesco Maestrelli
68.3% | Lorenzo Carboni
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.57) |
|
2.95 ↑
(2.25) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 228. Carboni is ranked ATP: 559.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Maestrelli is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Maestrelli won against Lorenzo Carboni?
Francesco Maestrelli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Carboni won against Francesco Maestrelli?
Lorenzo Carboni has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
01.05.2025
Francesco Maestrelli
-
Lorenzo Carboni
1:2
23.04.2025
Francesco Maestrelli
-
Lorenzo Carboni
2:1
Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Dellien Velasco M. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Bondioli F. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Schwaerzler J. J. (Q) | Bueno G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Holmgren A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rodesch C. (3) | Erhard M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Santamarta Roig A. (Q) | Klizan M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Mena F. | Kovalik J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Hsu Y. H. | Arnaboldi F. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Neumayer L. (6) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Onclin G. | Skatov T. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Pavlovic L. | Castagnola L. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Moro Canas A. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ajdukovic D. (5) | Roca Batalla O. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Durasovic V. (Alt) | Vallejo D. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Maestrelli F. (WC) | Carboni L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Shelbayh A. (RET.) (Alt) | Kym J. (2) | 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rodesch C. (3) | Klizan M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mena F. | Hsu Y. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Neumayer L. (6) | Skatov T. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Castagnola L. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ajdukovic D. (5) | Vallejo D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Carboni L. | Kym J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rodesch C. (3) | Mena F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Neumayer L. (6) | Buse I. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ajdukovic D. (5) | Kym J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Rodesch C. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Neumayer L. (WO.) (6) | Kym J. (2) | |
Final| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Neumayer L. (6) | 2 : 0 |
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