Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (37/47) | 71% (40/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 21% (10/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 55% (11/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 33% (3/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 65% (11/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (46/67) | 68% (54/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (25/79) | 31% (21/67) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (71/146) | 51% (75/146) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 92% (12/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 60% (15/25) |
Chances of winning
Marko Topo
48.6% | Francesco Maestrelli
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.97) |
|
1.8 ↑
(1.73) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Topo is ranked ATP: 282. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 157.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Topo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Topo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marko Topo won against Francesco Maestrelli?
Marko Topo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Maestrelli won against Marko Topo?
Francesco Maestrelli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli were as follows:
04.07.2025
Francesco Maestrelli
-
Marko Topo
2:1
Latest results of Marko Topo
Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mochizuki S. (1) | Arnaboldi F. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt) | Fatic N. | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. | Dodig M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Karol M. (Q) | Pellegrino A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Passaro F. (4) | Ribecai M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sciahbasi L. (WC) | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Brunold M. (Alt) | Zhukayev B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Topo M. | Choinski J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Ruusuvuori E. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Basile P. (WC) | Gadamauri B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Visker N. (LL) | Gentzsch T. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Napolitano S. (PR) | Virtanen O. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lajal M. (7) | Vatutin A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Engel J. | Stewart H. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Donski A. (Q) | Tabacco F. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | Harris B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arnaboldi F. | Fatic N. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Karol M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (4) | Sciahbasi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. | Topo M. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Gadamauri B. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Visker N. | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lajal M. (7) | Engel J. (WO.) | |
| 8 | Donski A. | Guerrieri A. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Arnaboldi F. | Travaglia S. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Passaro F. (4) | Topo M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Napolitano S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Guerrieri A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Topo M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Maestrelli F. (8) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Topo M. | Maestrelli F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
