Francesco Maestrelli vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Villa Maria Challenger Men Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto
Result
2:0
17/09/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
62%69%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (28/37)60% (28/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (10/23)38% (8/21)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
40% (19/47)24% (9/37)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (13/21)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
63% (38/60)53% (36/68)
Return Points Won
47% (32/68)37% (22/60)
Total Points Won
55% (70/128)45% (58/128)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
70.1%
Matias Soto
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.38)

    3.09
    (2.9)
    7.4%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 159. Soto is ranked ATP: 287.
    • In recent matches, Maestrelli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Soto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Maestrelli is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    30.07.2025 Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier 0:2
    29.07.2025 Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto Alvarez Varona N. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    2Varillas J. P.De La Fuente S. (Q)2 : 0
    3Boscardin Dias P.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    4Jones M.Reis Da Silva J. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (3)Rodriguez L. J. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Soto M.Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Justo G. I.Torres J. B. (WC)2 : 1
    8Dellien Velasco M. A.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 1
    9Bueno G. (6)Collarini A.1 : 2
    10Ambrogi L. E.Bagnis F. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kicker N.Casanova H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cavallo F. (WC)Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Barrena A. (7)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Falabella L. A. (Q)La Serna J. M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Juarez F. (Q)Kestelboim M. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Midon L.Dellien H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Jones M.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (3)Soto M.2 : 0
    4Justo G. I.Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    5Collarini A.Bagnis F. (WO.)
    6Casanova H.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    7Barrena A. (7)La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    8Kestelboim M.Midon L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    2Maestrelli F. (3)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    3Bagnis F.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    4Barrena A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A. (4)Barrena A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Nava E. (1)Barrena A. (7)2 : 0