Result
1:2
22/07/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (39/60) | 69% (46/67) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (13/31) | 56% (19/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 35% (21/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 58% (18/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 42% (5/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 45 | 27 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 64% (65/101) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (36/101) | 43% (39/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (88/192) | 54% (104/192) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 62% (18/29) |
Chances of winning
Francesco Passaro
49.1% | Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.38) |
|
1.86 ↑
(1.57) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Passaro (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Passaro is ranked ATP: 121. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 51.
- Recent performances by Passaro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ugo Carabelli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Passaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Passaro won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Francesco Passaro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Francesco Passaro?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
Latest results of Francesco Passaro
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Taberner C. | Herbert P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. | Poljicak M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Guillen Meza A. (Q) | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Kopriva V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Majchrzak K. (7) | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Dodig M. (WC) | Passaro F. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | |
| 13 | Carballes Baena R. (6) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Prizmic D. (WC) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tseng C. H. | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Taberner C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Navone M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kopriva V. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Passaro F. | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Basilashvili N. | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Tseng C. H. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | Dzumhur D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Taberner C. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
