Francesco Passaro vs Denis Yevseyev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hong Kong Francesco Passaro - Denis Yevseyev
Result
2:1
29/12/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
58%65%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (33/46)67% (43/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (19/34)29% (10/35)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)58% (7/12)
Average 1st Serve Speed
189 km/h373 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
159 km/h269 km/h
1st Return Points Won
41% (26/64)28% (13/46)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (25/35)44% (15/34)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)60% (3/5)
Winners
3318
Unforced Errors
4330
Net Points Won
87% (20/23)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
65% (52/80)54% (53/99)
Return Points Won
46% (46/99)35% (28/80)
Total Points Won
55% (98/179)45% (81/179)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Francesco Passaro
57.3%
Denis Yevseyev
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.
  • Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Yevseyev's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Francesco Passaro - Denis Yevseyev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.41)

    2.19
    (2.77)
    6.9%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Passaro is ranked ATP: 108. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 246.
    • Passaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Yevseyev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Passaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Safiullin R.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    3Shang J.Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    4Passaro F. (Q)Martinez P. (7)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (3)Bye
    6Shapovalov D.Nishikori K. (WC)0 : 2
    7Norrie C.Tien L.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Nakashima B. (6)2 : 0
    9Darderi L. (8)Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    10Muller A.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Bergs Z. (WC)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeFils A. (4)
    13Borges N. (5)Bu Y.2 : 1
    14Munar J.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 1
    15Diallo G. (Q)Carballes Baena R.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    2Shang J.Martinez P. (7)2 : 0
    3Khachanov K. (3)Nishikori K.1 : 2
    4Norrie C.Sonego L.2 : 1
    5Kecmanovic M.Muller A.1 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Fils A. (4)0 : 2
    7Borges N. (5)Munar J.0 : 2
    8Diallo G.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Marozsan F.Shang J.1 : 2
    2Nishikori K.Norrie C.2 : 1
    3Muller A.Fils A. (4)2 : 1
    4Munar J.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shang J. (RET.)Nishikori K.0 : 0
    2Muller A.Munar J.2 : 1

    Final
    1Nishikori K.Muller A.1 : 2