Erik Silva vs Francis Marshall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Marshall F. - 1st Round TKO
28/02/2026 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+

Chances of winning


Erik Silva
15.1%
Francis Marshall
84.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erik Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-65.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erik Silva's form might have worsened.
  • Francis Marshall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+65.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Marshall's recent form is better than expected.
  • Erik Silva - Francis Marshall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.28
    (1.16)

    1.12
    (4.95)
    5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Marshall is the clear favorite.
    • Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Erik Silva
    24.02.2024 Erik Silva - Muhammadjon Naimov Naimov M. - 1st Round TKO
    Latest results of Francis Marshall
    08.03.2025 Mairon Santos - Francis Marshall Santos M. win
    24.08.2024 Dennis Buzukja - Francis Marshall Marshall F. win
    12.08.2023 Francis Marshall - Isaac Dulgarian Dulgarian I. - 1st Round TKO