Alex Michelsen vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
4	4
Double Faults
5	2
1st Serve Percentage
58%	57%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)	79% (26/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (12/32)	56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
75% (12/16)	67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/33)	36% (16/44)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)	63% (20/32)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)	25% (4/16)
Winners
20	21
Unforced Errors
32	19
Net Points Won
67% (4/6)	90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
53% (40/76)	69% (40/58)
Return Points Won
31% (18/58)	47% (36/76)
Total Points Won
43% (58/134)	57% (76/134)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)	90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)	44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
32% (6/19)	68% (13/19)

Chances of winning

Alex Michelsen
36.5%

Francis Tiafoe
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.1)		1.48 ↓ (1.73)	6.5% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 Sets - Michelsen (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17.
Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Tiafoe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Francis Tiafoe?

Alex Michelsen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Alex Michelsen?

Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:

08.02.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen 2:0

Latest results of Alex Michelsen

03.04.2025 Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino 2:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien 2:0 ✺

21.03.2025 Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev Michelsen A. retired ✺

07.03.2025 Alex Michelsen - Colton Smith 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

03.04.2025 Adam Walton - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

24.03.2025 Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Damir Dzumhur - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/16-finals

1	Paul T. (1)	Bye
2	Garin C. (WC)	Ritschard A.	2 : 0
3	Smith C. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
4	Quinn E. (WC)	Thompson J. (6)	2 : 1
5	Tabilo A. (3)	Bye
6	Daniel T.	Brooksby J. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Holt B.	Denolly C. (Q)	0 : 2
8	Kovacevic A.	Etcheverry T. M. (7)	2 : 0
9	Nishikori K. (8)	Krueger M. (Q)	2 : 0
10	Hijikata R.	Eubanks C.	1 : 2
11	Galan D. E.	McDonald M.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Nakashima B. (4)
13	Michelsen A. (5)	Tien L.	2 : 0
14	Hanfmann Y.	Mannarino A. (LL)	0 : 2
15	Mmoh M. (WC)	Walton A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Tiafoe F. (2)

1/8-finals

1	Paul T. (1)	Garin C.	2 : 1
2	Smith C.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
3	Tabilo A. (3)	Brooksby J.	1 : 2
4	Denolly C.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
5	Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)	Eubanks C.	0 : 1
6	McDonald M.	Nakashima B. (4)	0 : 2
7	Michelsen A. (5)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
8	Walton A.	Tiafoe F. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Paul T. (1)	Smith C.	2 : 0
2	Brooksby J.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
3	Eubanks C.	Nakashima B. (4)	0 : 2
4	Michelsen A. (5)	Tiafoe F. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Paul T. (1)	Brooksby J.	1 : 2
2	Nakashima B. (4)	Tiafoe F. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Brooksby J.

Tiafoe F. (2)

2 : 0