Alex Michelsen vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Houston Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe
Result
0:2
04/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
58%57%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)79% (26/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (12/32)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
75% (12/16)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/33)36% (16/44)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)63% (20/32)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)25% (4/16)
Winners
2021
Unforced Errors
3219
Net Points Won
67% (4/6)90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
53% (40/76)69% (40/58)
Return Points Won
31% (18/58)47% (36/76)
Total Points Won
43% (58/134)57% (76/134)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
32% (6/19)68% (13/19)

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
36.5%
Francis Tiafoe
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.
  • Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.1)

    1.48
    (1.73)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17.
    • Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Tiafoe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    08.02.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen 2:0
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0