Marton Fucsovics vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Marton Fucsovics - Francis Tiafoe
Result
2:1
24/09/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
610
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
59%53%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (33/48)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (24/34)44% (21/48)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/55)31% (15/48)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (27/48)29% (10/34)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)56% (58/103)
Return Points Won
44% (45/103)31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
55% (103/187)45% (84/187)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Marton Fucsovics
53.2%
Francis Tiafoe
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.
  • Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marton Fucsovics - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.13)

    2.05
    (1.6)
    4.9%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Marton Fucsovics - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 58. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 29.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marton Fucsovics - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    17.06.2023 Francis Tiafoe - Marton Fucsovics 2:0
    Latest results of Marton Fucsovics
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0