Francis Tiafoe vs Sebastian Korda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/05/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Roland-Garros (Paris).

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max

Match Stats


Aces
9	11
Double Faults
5	5
1st Serve Percentage
52%	53%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (40/52)	74% (42/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (35/48)	54% (27/50)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)	33% (1/3)
Average 1st Serve Speed
200 km/h	197 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
154 km/h	162 km/h
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/57)	23% (12/52)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (23/50)	27% (13/48)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)	0% (0/2)
Winners
36	28
Unforced Errors
26	39
Net Points Won
89% (16/18)	61% (11/18)
Service Points Won
75% (75/100)	64% (69/107)
Return Points Won
36% (38/107)	25% (25/100)
Total Points Won
55% (113/207)	45% (94/207)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (16/16)	87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)	0% (0/16)
Total Games Won
58% (18/31)	42% (13/31)

Chances of winning

Francis Tiafoe
48.1%

Sebastian Korda
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)		1.83 ↑ (1.8)	5.3% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Korda will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 46.6% – 77.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Korda will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.

Preview Facts

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16. Korda is ranked ATP: 23.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Sebastian Korda?

Francis Tiafoe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Francis Tiafoe?

Sebastian Korda has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda were as follows:

03.08.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda 0:2

21.06.2023 Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda 0:2

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

28.05.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin 3:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

20.05.2025 Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sebastian Korda

28.05.2025 Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Korda 0:3 ✺

26.05.2025 Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda 1:3 ✺

12.05.2025 Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Korda 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Rinderknech A.	3 : 0
2	Atmane T. (WC)	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 3
3	Lehecka J.	Thompson J.	3 : 0
4	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	Davidovich Fokina A. (26)	1 : 3
5	Rublev A. (17)	Harris L. (Q)	3 : 1
6	Marterer M. (Q)	Walton A.	2 : 3
7	Ugo Carabelli C.	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Jarry N.	Fils A. (14)	1 : 3
9	De Minaur A. (9)	Djere L.	3 : 0
10	Bublik A.	Duckworth J.	3 : 0
11	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Rocha H. (Q)	2 : 3
12	Muller A.	Mensik J. (19)	1 : 3
13	Hurkacz H. (30)	Fonseca J.	0 : 3
14	Herbert P. (WC)	Bonzi B.	3 : 2
15	Monfils G.	Dellien H.	3 : 2
16	Bellucci M.	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tien L.	3 : 0
18	De Jong J.	Passaro F.	3 : 2
19	Cilic M. (LL)	Cobolli F.	0 : 3
20	Arnaldi M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (29)	3 : 2
21	Cerundolo F. (18)	Diallo G.	0 : 3
22	Giron M.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 3
23	Shevchenko A. (LL)	Lajovic D.	3 : 0
24	Quinn E. (Q)	Dimitrov G. (RET.) (16)	1 : 2
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Norrie C.	2 : 3
26	Kovacevic A.	Gomez F. A. (LL)	1 : 3
27	Fearnley J.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	3 : 0
28	O'Connell C.	Humbert U. (22)	0 : 3
29	Shapovalov D. (27)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
30	Misolic F. (Q)	Bu Y.	3 : 1
31	Moutet C.	Tabur C. (Q)	3 : 0
32	McDonald M.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
33	Musetti L. (8)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	3 : 0
34	Royer V. (WC)	Galan D. E. (LL)	2 : 3
35	Opelka R.	Hijikata R.	3 : 1
36	Navone M.	Nakashima B. (28)	3 : 1
37	Machac T. (RET.) (21)	Halys Q.	0 : 1
38	Kecmanovic M.	Baez S.	3 : 2
39	Nava E. (WC)	Van De Zandschulp B.	3 : 0
40	Bautista-Agut R.	Rune H. (10)	1 : 3
41	Tiafoe F. (15)	Safiullin R.	3 : 0
42	Carreno-Busta P.	Comesana F.	3 : 0
43	Brooksby J.	Faria J.	3 : 1
44	Darderi L.	Korda S. (23)	1 : 3
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	0 : 3
46	Majchrzak K.	Medjedovic H.	0 : 3
47	Kopriva V.	Monteiro T.	3 : 2
48	Altmaier D.	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
49	Ruud C. (7)	Ramos A. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Jacquet K. (Q)	Borges N.	2 : 3
51	Tabilo A.	Cazaux A. (WC)	3 : 2
52	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 2
53	Khachanov K. (24)	Vukic A.	3 : 0
54	Ofner S.	Struff J-L.	3 : 1
55	Fucsovics M.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	3 : 0
56	Moller E. (LL)	Paul T. (12)	1 : 3
57	Shelton B. (13)	Sonego L.	3 : 2
58	Gaston H.	Blanchet U. (Q)	3 : 2
59	Hassan B. (Q)	Gigante M. (Q)	0 : 3
60	Etcheverry T. M.	Tsitsipas S. (20)	0 : 3
61	Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)	Bergs Z.	3 : 1
62	Tirante T. A. (LL)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 3
63	Marozsan F.	Nardi L.	3 : 0
64	Zeppieri G. (Q)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Gasquet R.	3 : 0
2	Lehecka J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (26)	3 : 1
3	Rublev A. (17)	Walton A.	3 : 0
4	Munar J.	Fils A. (14)	2 : 3
5	De Minaur A. (9)	Bublik A.	2 : 3
6	Rocha H.	Mensik J. (19)	3 : 2
7	Fonseca J.	Herbert P.	3 : 0
8	Monfils G.	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
9	Zverev A. (3)	De Jong J.	3 : 1
10	Cobolli F.	Arnaldi M.	3 : 1
11	Diallo G.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 3
12	Shevchenko A.	Quinn E.	2 : 3
13	Norrie C.	Gomez F. A.	3 : 0
14	Fearnley J.	Humbert U. (RET.) (22)	1 : 0
15	Shapovalov D. (27)	Misolic F.	2 : 3
16	Moutet C.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
17	Musetti L. (8)	Galan D. E.	3 : 0
18	Opelka R.	Navone M.	0 : 3
19	Halys Q.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 1
20	Nava E.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 3
21	Tiafoe F. (15)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Korda S. (23)	0 : 3
23	Cerundolo J. M.	Medjedovic H.	0 : 3
24	Kopriva V.	Altmaier D.	1 : 3
25	Ruud C. (7)	Borges N.	1 : 3
26	Tabilo A.	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 3
27	Khachanov K. (24)	Ofner S.	3 : 2
28	Fucsovics M.	Paul T. (12)	2 : 3
29	Shelton B. (WO.) (13)	Gaston H.
30	Gigante M.	Tsitsipas S. (20)	3 : 1
31	Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 3
32	Marozsan F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Lehecka J.	3 : 0
2	Rublev A. (WO.) (17)	Fils A. (14)
3	Bublik A.	Rocha H.	3 : 0
4	Fonseca J.	Draper J. (5)	0 : 3
5	Zverev A. (3)	Cobolli F.	3 : 0
6	Griekspoor T.	Quinn E.	3 : 2
7	Norrie C.	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
8	Misolic F.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (8)	Navone M.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Rune H. (10)	2 : 3
11	Tiafoe F. (15)	Korda S. (23)	3 : 0
12	Medjedovic H.	Altmaier D.	1 : 3
13	Borges N.	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 3
14	Khachanov K. (24)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 3
15	Shelton B. (13)	Gigante M.	3 : 0
16	Dzumhur D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Rublev A. (17)	3 : 0
2	Bublik A.	Draper J. (5)	3 : 1
3	Zverev A. (3)	Griekspoor T. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Norrie C.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
5	Musetti L. (8)	Rune H. (10)	3 : 1
6	Tiafoe F. (15)	Altmaier D.	3 : 0
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Paul T. (12)	0 : 3
8	Shelton B. (13)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A.	3 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Djokovic N. (6)	1 : 3
3	Musetti L. (8)	Tiafoe F. (15)	3 : 1
4	Paul T. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Djokovic N. (6)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (RET.) (8)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

2 : 3