Sebastian Korda vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/02/2026 at 21:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
88
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
68%65%
1st serve points won
88% (30/34)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
50% (8/16)35% (6/17)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)43% (3/7)
1st return points won
31% (10/32)21% (7/34)
2nd return points won
65% (11/17)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)50% (1/2)
Winners
2212
Unforced errors
1619
Net points won
100% (3/3)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
76% (38/50)57% (28/49)
Return Points Won
43% (21/49)24% (12/50)
Total Points Won
60% (59/99)40% (40/99)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
90% (9/10)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)10% (1/10)
Total games won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Korda
54.3%
Francis Tiafoe
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.91)

    2.08
    (1.91)
    5%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Korda (votes: 6 - 60%). Tiafoe (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Korda is ranked ATP: 53. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 30.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korda won 3.
    • Korda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tiafoe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Korda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda 3:0
    03.08.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda 0:2
    21.06.2023 Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda 0:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2