Result
2:0
11/02/2026 at 21:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 88% (30/34) | 69% (22/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 35% (6/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 21% (7/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (4/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (38/50) | 57% (28/49) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 24% (12/50) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 40% (40/99) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 32% (6/19) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Korda 54.3% | Francis Tiafoe 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.91) |
|
2.08 ↑ (1.91) |
5% (4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Korda (votes: 6 - 60%). Tiafoe (votes: 4 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Korda is ranked ATP: 53. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 30.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korda won 3.
- Korda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tiafoe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Korda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Francis Tiafoe?
Sebastian Korda has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Sebastian Korda?
Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
30.05.2025
Francis Tiafoe
-
Sebastian Korda
3:0
03.08.2024
Francis Tiafoe
-
Sebastian Korda
0:2
21.06.2023
Francis Tiafoe
-
Sebastian Korda
0:2
Latest results of Sebastian Korda
Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (WC) | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Tiafoe F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. (4) | Pinnington Jones J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Duckworth J. | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svajda T. (WC) | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cilic M. | Tien L. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Kypson P. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dimitrov G. | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paul T. (5) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Walton A. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Shelton B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Korda S. | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pinnington Jones J. | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Quinn E. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paul T. (5) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mannarino A. | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Korda S. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kecmanovic M. | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |