Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	2
Double Faults
5	1
1st Serve Percentage
58%	53%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (27/45)	59% (22/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (18/33)	27% (9/33)
Break Points Saved
79% (11/14)	14% (1/7)
1st Return Points Won
41% (15/37)	42% (19/45)
2nd Return Points Won
73% (24/33)	45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
86% (6/7)	21% (3/14)
Winners
22	9
Unforced Errors
39	39
Net Points Won
80% (8/10)	67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
58% (45/78)	46% (31/67)
Return Points Won
54% (36/67)	42% (33/78)
Total Points Won
56% (81/145)	44% (64/145)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)	45% (5/11)
Return Games Won
55% (6/11)	30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)	38% (8/21)

Chances of winning

Francisco Cerundolo
26%

Alex De Minaur
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.2)		1.29 ↓ (1.36)	4.7% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). De Minaur will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 60.7% – 93.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 26. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
Cerundolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches De Minaur is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match De Minaur is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

How many head-to-head matches has Francisco Cerundolo won against Alex De Minaur?

Francisco Cerundolo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Francisco Cerundolo?

Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur were as follows:

17.01.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur 1:3

Latest results of Francisco Cerundolo

10.03.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo 1:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Laslo Djere 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

10.03.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 David Goffin - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

25.02.2025 Marin Cilic - Alex De Minaur 2:1 ✺

20.02.2025 Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur 2:1 ✺

19.02.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2