Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Halle Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen
Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
59%71%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (42/57)76% (44/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
24% (14/58)26% (15/57)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (13/24)49% (19/39)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)43% (3/7)
Winners
3117
Unforced Errors
3330
Net Points Won
85% (11/13)86% (12/14)
Service Points Won
65% (62/96)67% (55/82)
Return Points Won
33% (27/82)35% (34/96)
Total Points Won
50% (89/178)50% (89/178)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
48.8%
Alex Michelsen
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Cerundolo's form might have worsened.
  • Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.73)

    1.88
    (2.1)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex Michelsen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 18. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 35.
    • In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Michelsen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 0
    2Muller A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    3Marozsan F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4De Jong J. (LL)Machac T. (7)1 : 2
    5Rublev A. (4)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Djere L. (Q)2 : 1
    8Bergs Z.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    9Cerundolo F. (5)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    10Tsitsipas S.Darderi L.2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 0
    12Altmaier D. (WC)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Humbert U. (6)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    14Fonseca J. (WC)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Sonego L.Struff J-L. (WC)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F.Machac T. (7)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (4)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F.Khachanov K. (8)1 : 2
    5Michelsen A.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    6Halys Q.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Shapovalov D.Cobolli F.1 : 2
    8Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bublik A.Machac T. (7)2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    3Michelsen A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Cobolli F.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bublik A.Khachanov K. (8)2 : 1
    2Medvedev D. (3)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bublik A.Medvedev D. (3)2 : 0