Francisco Cerundolo vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Umag Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
2:1
27/07/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
72%63%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (57/91)66% (41/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (16/35)50% (18/36)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
39% (24/62)37% (34/91)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (18/36)54% (19/35)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)36% (4/11)
Winners
00
Unforced Errors
00
Net Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Max Points In Row
69
Service Points Won
58% (73/126)60% (59/98)
Return Points Won
40% (39/98)42% (53/126)
Total Points Won
50% (112/224)50% (112/224)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
39.5%
Lorenzo Musetti
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.18)

    1.58
    (1.58)
    4.8%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Musetti will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 51.5%92.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
    • Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.64.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2