Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
57%65%
1st serve points won
56% (22/39)63% (36/57)
2nd serve points won
50% (15/30)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
7/1110/13
1st return points won
37% (21/57)44% (17/39)
2nd return points won
52% (16/31)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
3/134/11
Winners
2120
Unforced errors
3334
Net points won
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
54% (37/69)58% (51/88)
Return Points Won
42% (37/88)46% (32/69)
Total Points Won
47% (74/157)53% (83/157)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Francisco Cerundolo
72.1%
Tomas Machac
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.
  • Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Machac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Machac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Machac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.56)

    3.4
    (2.45)
    4.7%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Machac?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Cerundolo (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francisco Cerundolo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Machac is ranked ATP: 53.
    • Cerundolo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machac has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (9)
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2