Francisco Rocha vs Alexey Vatutin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Estoril Challenger Men Francisco Rocha - Alexey Vatutin
Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
46%64%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (18/27)63% (39/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (13/32)57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
37% (23/62)33% (9/27)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (15/35)59% (19/32)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)100% (5/5)
Winners
1217
Unforced Errors
5140
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
53% (31/59)61% (60/99)
Return Points Won
39% (39/99)47% (28/59)
Total Points Won
44% (70/158)56% (88/158)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Francisco Rocha
28.1%
Alexey Vatutin
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 71.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Francisco Rocha aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Alexey Vatutin aligns with the current prediction.
  • Francisco Rocha - Alexey Vatutin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.1)

    1.3
    (1.32)
    7.4%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Rocha is ranked ATP: 709. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 333.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Vatutin is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Francisco Rocha
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Lajovic D. (Alt)Pellegrino A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Tien L.Elias G. (WC)1 : 2
    4Rocha H. (WC)Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    5Giron M. (4)Bye
    6Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)2 : 1
    7Faria J.Zapata Miralles B. (LL)0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Fonseca J. (8)2 : 0
    9Kecmanovic M. (5)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Coppejans K. (Alt)Yevseyev D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Zeppieri G. (Q)Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Martinez P. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Nardi L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    15Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Fonio G. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMichelsen A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Elias G.Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    3Giron M. (4)Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Zapata Miralles B.De Jong J.2 : 0
    5Kecmanovic M. (5)Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Borges N. (3)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Nardi L.0 : 2
    8Fonio G.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Kecmanovic M. (5)Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    4Nardi L.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M. (5)Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2