Franco Ribero vs Natan Rodrigues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
64%75%
1st serve points won
87% (33/38)64% (28/44)
2nd serve points won
67% (14/21)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
2/22/4
1st return points won
41% (18/44)13% (5/38)
2nd return points won
47% (7/15)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
2/40/2
Winners
3615
Unforced errors
1822
Net points won
78% (7/9)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
79% (46/58)61% (36/59)
Return Points Won
39% (23/59)21% (12/58)
Total Points Won
59% (69/117)41% (48/117)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (11/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Franco Ribero
46%
Natan Rodrigues
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Franco Ribero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Franco Ribero's form might have worsened.
  • Natan Rodrigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Natan Rodrigues's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Ribero than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Ribero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natan Rodrigues than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Natan Rodrigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Franco Ribero - Natan Rodrigues Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.69)

    1.71
    (2.05)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ribero is ranked ATP: 1077. Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 842.
    • In recent matches, Ribero has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rodrigues is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rodrigues may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Natan Rodrigues
    23.03.2026 Natan Rodrigues - Nicolas Villalon Rodrigues N. retired
    17.02.2026 Natan Rodrigues - Miguel Tobon Tobon M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    2Schiessl J. E. (Alt)Nikles J. (Q)1 : 2
    3Zeitune M. (Q)Rodriguez L. J. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (WC)Bueno G. (5)2 : 1
    5Guillen Meza A. (4)Ambrogi L. E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Sakamoto P.2 : 0
    7Zarate C. M. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8De La Fuente S. (Q)Diaz Acosta F. (7)0 : 2
    9Meligeni Alves F. (8)Aguilar Cardozo J. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 1
    10La Serna J. M.Justo G. I.2 : 1
    11Heide G.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0
    12Dutra Da Silva D.Prado Angelo J. C. (3)0 : 2
    13Midon L. (6)Fernandez B. (WC)2 : 1
    14Alvarez Varona N. (RET.)Torres J. B.1 : 1
    15Villanueva G.Aboian V. (Alt)2 : 1
    16Ribeiro E.Dellien H. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dellien Velasco M. A.Nikles J.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez L. J.Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.1 : 2
    3Guillen Meza A. (4)Huertas Del Pino C.0 : 2
    4Varillas J. P.Diaz Acosta F. (7)0 : 2
    5Meligeni Alves F. (RET.) (8)La Serna J. M.1 : 1
    6Heide G.Prado Angelo J. C. (3)2 : 0
    7Midon L. (6)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    8Villanueva G.Dellien H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dellien Velasco M. A.Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.0 : 2
    2Huertas Del Pino C.Diaz Acosta F. (7)1 : 2
    3La Serna J. M.Heide G.0 : 2
    4Midon L. (6)Dellien H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.Diaz Acosta F. (7)0 : 2
    2Heide G.Dellien H. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F. (7)Dellien H. (2)