Franco Roncadelli vs Jozef Kovalik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sofia 2 Challenger Men Franco Roncadelli - Jozef Kovalik
Result
2:0
18/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
71%55%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)55% (21/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)42% (13/31)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
45% (17/38)30% (13/44)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (18/31)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)29% (2/7)
Winners
519
Unforced Errors
1857
Net Points Won
0% (0/3)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
63% (39/62)49% (34/69)
Return Points Won
51% (35/69)37% (23/62)
Total Points Won
56% (74/131)44% (57/131)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Franco Roncadelli
38.4%
Jozef Kovalik
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Franco Roncadelli - Jozef Kovalik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.2)

    1.51
    (1.6)
    7.2%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 380. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 576.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kovalik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kovalik could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pieczonka F. (LL)Nagal S.0 : 2
    2Serdarusic N. (Q)Nedic A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Donski A. (WC)Michalski D.2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (4)Vasilev A. (WC)0 : 2
    6Molcan A. (Q)Ivanov I. (WC)2 : 0
    7Rincon D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    8Roncadelli F. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (7)2 : 1
    9Ajdukovic D. (8)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)0 : 2
    10Honda N. (JR)Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2
    11Bondioli F. (LL)Karol M. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Midon L.Agamenone F. (Q)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (5)Pereira T.2 : 0
    14Blanch D. (Q)Brunold M.1 : 2
    15Shah A. (Alt)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    16Dellien Velasco M. A.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Nedic A.1 : 2
    2Donski A.Dodig M. (6)1 : 2
    3Vasilev A.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Cecchinato M.Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    5Schwaerzler J. J.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    6Karol M.Agamenone F.1 : 2
    7Ferreira Silva F. (5)Brunold M.2 : 0
    8Sharipov M.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nedic A.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Schwaerzler J. J.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Ferreira Silva F. (5)Sharipov M.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (6)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Sharipov M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Molcan A.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0