Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures 2 Challenger Men Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
0:2
17/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
83%68%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (32/53)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
18% (2/11)28% (7/25)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
31% (17/54)40% (21/53)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (18/25)82% (9/11)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
53% (34/64)58% (46/79)
Return Points Won
42% (33/79)47% (30/64)
Total Points Won
47% (67/143)53% (76/143)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Franco Roncadelli
36.5%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.5)

    1.45
    (1.5)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 371. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 303.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alvarez Varona might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Franco Roncadelli
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Ovcharenko O.2 : 0
    2Uta D. (Q)Raynel A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Bentzel C. S. (WC)Boitan G. A.0 : 2
    4Roncadelli F.Alvarez Varona N. (7)0 : 2
    5Kuzmanov D. (3)Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 1
    6Tomescu D. A. (Q)Picchione A.0 : 2
    7Nijboer R.Damas M.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A.Brunold M. (8)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (RET.) (6)Alcala Gurri M.0 : 1
    10Denolly C.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Gima S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Mrva M.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Jianu F. C. (5)Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    14Faurel T. (Q)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    15Zapata Miralles B.Loge J. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ionel N. D.Rincon D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Raynel A.2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Alvarez Varona N. (7)2 : 1
    3Kuzmanov D. (3)Picchione A.1 : 2
    4Damas M.Brunold M. (8)2 : 0
    5Alcala Gurri M.Denolly C.1 : 2
    6Gima S.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    7Jianu F. C. (5)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    8Loge J.Rincon D. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Boitan G. A.2 : 0
    2Picchione A. (RET.)Damas M.0 : 1
    3Denolly C.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Rincon D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Erhard M. (4)Agamenone F.0 : 2

    Final
    1Clarke J. (1)Agamenone F.0 : 2