Chernomorets Burgas vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Corner Kicks
122
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
122

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Burgas
41.9%
Draw
29.8%
Fratria
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 28.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Burgas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Burgas's form might have worsened.
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.74)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.26
    (4.59)
    8.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fratria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gradski stadion.
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Promotion: )).
    • Chernomorets Burgas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fratria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Fratria - Chernomorets Burgas 2:1
    Latest results of Fratria
    10.11.2025 Dunav Ruse - Fratria 2:0
    31.10.2025 Fratria - Vihren Sandanski 2:0
    28.10.2025 Fratria - Arda Kardzhali 1:2
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse26187145:93661
    2Fratria26166449:222754
    3Yantra Gabrovo26148436:201650
    4Vihren27136846:321445
    5CSKA Sofia II26126842:271542
    6Chernomorets 191926911631:24738
    7Hebar251051035:40-535
    8Etar26810830:36-634
    9Pirin Blagoevgrad2689930:30033
    10Lok. Gorna27881128:36-832
    11Ludogorets II27871233:39-631
    12Marek26781120:33-1329
    13Spartak Pleven27771328:37-928
    14Minyor Pernik27691227:37-1027
    15Sevlievo26751422:33-1126
    16Svoge26671321:38-1725
    17Belasitsa26371618:48-3016

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