Chernomorets Burgas vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Corner Kicks
122
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
122

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Burgas
41.9%
Draw
29.8%
Fratria
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 28.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Burgas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Burgas's form might have worsened.
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.74)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.26
    (4.59)
    8.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fratria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gradski stadion.
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Promotion: )).
    • Chernomorets Burgas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fratria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Fratria - Chernomorets Burgas 2:1
    Latest results of Fratria
    10.11.2025 Dunav Ruse - Fratria 2:0
    31.10.2025 Fratria - Vihren Sandanski 2:0
    28.10.2025 Fratria - Arda Kardzhali 1:2
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse19163041:63551
    2Fratria21144340:152546
    3Yantra Gabrovo21117329:171240
    4Vihren21115540:251538
    5CSKA Sofia II2096537:191833
    6Pirin Blagoevgrad2077628:25328
    7Etar2168723:28-526
    8Lok. Gorna2168723:27-426
    9Ludogorets II21741026:31-525
    10Hebar2074928:33-525
    11Chernomorets 191920510521:21025
    12Minyor Pernik2158819:26-723
    13Svoge2056920:30-1021
    14Marek21461116:32-1618
    15Sevlievo20451114:27-1317
    16Spartak Pleven20351216:34-1814
    17Belasitsa19261110:35-2512

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