Chernomorets Burgas vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Corner Kicks
122
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
227
Shots on target
177
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
122

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Burgas
41.9%
Draw
29.8%
Fratria
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 28.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Burgas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Burgas's form might have worsened.
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.74)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.26
    (4.59)
    8.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fratria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gradski stadion.
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Promotion: )).
    • Chernomorets Burgas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fratria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Fratria - Chernomorets Burgas 2:1
    Latest results of Fratria
    10.11.2025 Dunav Ruse - Fratria 2:0
    31.10.2025 Fratria - Vihren Sandanski 2:0
    28.10.2025 Fratria - Arda Kardzhali 1:2
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse29198249:123765
    2Fratria28168452:252756
    3Yantra Gabrovo28159440:231754
    4Vihren29156854:332151
    5CSKA Sofia II29147852:302249
    6Chernomorets 1919291013635:26943
    7Etar291011838:41-341
    8Hebar281061238:47-936
    9Pirin Blagoevgrad298111034:35-135
    10Marek298101122:34-1234
    11Lok. Gorna29891230:41-1133
    12Spartak Pleven30881431:40-932
    13Ludogorets II28881233:39-632
    14Minyor Pernik29791330:38-830
    15Svoge29771525:47-2228
    16Sevlievo29751723:45-2226
    17Belasitsa ✔ 29471824:54-3019

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