Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
129
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
129
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
19.9%
Draw
27%
Fratria
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.5% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 26.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's form might have worsened.
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (2.86)
    3.52
    (3.43)
    1.79
    (2.18)
    5.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fratria (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fratria will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).
    • Gorna Oryahovitsa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fratria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fratria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria 2:1
    09.11.2024 Fratria - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1:2
    Latest results of Fratria
    21.09.2025 Minyor Pernik - Fratria 2:3
    12.09.2025 Fratria - Yantra Gabrovo 0:1
    06.09.2025 Fratria - Ludogorets II 5:0
    31.08.2025 Sevlievo - Fratria 0:1
    23.08.2025 Fratria - Sportist Svoge 2:1
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse22184044:73758
    2Fratria24146443:212248
    3Vihren24135644:281644
    4Yantra Gabrovo24128432:191344
    5CSKA Sofia II22106639:231636
    6Chernomorets 191923810528:22634
    7Pirin Blagoevgrad2378829:28129
    8Etar2378825:33-829
    9Hebar22841030:37-728
    10Ludogorets II24761128:34-627
    11Minyor Pernik2469924:29-527
    12Lok. Gorna24681025:32-726
    13Sevlievo23751121:28-726
    14Marek23571118:33-1522
    15Svoge22561120:36-1621
    16Spartak Pleven23551324:36-1220
    17Belasitsa22271313:41-2813

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