Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
129
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
129
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
19.9%
Draw
27%
Fratria
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.5% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 26.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's form might have worsened.
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (2.86)
    3.52
    (3.43)
    1.79
    (2.18)
    5.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fratria (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fratria will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).
    • Gorna Oryahovitsa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fratria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fratria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria 2:1
    09.11.2024 Fratria - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1:2
    Latest results of Fratria
    21.09.2025 Minyor Pernik - Fratria 2:3
    12.09.2025 Fratria - Yantra Gabrovo 0:1
    06.09.2025 Fratria - Ludogorets II 5:0
    31.08.2025 Sevlievo - Fratria 0:1
    23.08.2025 Fratria - Sportist Svoge 2:1
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse19163041:63551
    2Fratria21144340:152546
    3Yantra Gabrovo21117329:171240
    4Vihren21115540:251538
    5CSKA Sofia II2096537:191833
    6Pirin Blagoevgrad2077628:25328
    7Etar2168723:28-526
    8Lok. Gorna2168723:27-426
    9Ludogorets II21741026:31-525
    10Hebar2074928:33-525
    11Chernomorets 191920510521:21025
    12Minyor Pernik2158819:26-723
    13Svoge2056920:30-1021
    14Marek21461116:32-1618
    15Sevlievo20451114:27-1317
    16Spartak Pleven20351216:34-1814
    17Belasitsa19261110:35-2512

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