Minyor Pernik vs Fratria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
712
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
56
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
712
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Vasilev V. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Vasilev V. ,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Kapitanov I. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Druiventak X. ,
  • 65', 2 - 3, Druiventak X. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minyor Pernik
26%
Draw
27.9%
Fratria
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.3% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 28.1% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Minyor Pernik - Fratria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.06)
    3.29
    (3.1)
    1.99
    (2.22)
    9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Minyor Pernik - Fratria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fratria will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Fratria might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Minyor Pernik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Minyor Pernik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minyor Pernik - Fratria were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Minyor Pernik - Fratria 0:2
    21.09.2024 Fratria - Minyor Pernik 1:1
    Latest results of Minyor Pernik
    Latest results of Fratria
    12.09.2025 Fratria - Yantra Gabrovo 0:1
    06.09.2025 Fratria - Ludogorets II 5:0
    31.08.2025 Sevlievo - Fratria 0:1
    23.08.2025 Fratria - Sportist Svoge 2:1
    16.08.2025 Marek Dupnitsa - Fratria 1:3
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse18162039:43550
    2Fratria20134337:152243
    3Vihren20114538:231537
    4Yantra Gabrovo20107327:161137
    5CSKA Sofia II1986531:171430
    6Pirin Blagoevgrad1976627:24327
    7Lok. Gorna2067723:27-425
    8Hebar2074928:33-525
    9Ludogorets II20731025:30-524
    10Chernomorets 19191959521:21024
    11Minyor Pernik2058719:23-423
    12Etar2058720:28-823
    13Svoge1956820:27-721
    14Marek20461015:30-1518
    15Sevlievo19441113:26-1316
    16Spartak Pleven19341215:33-1813
    17Belasitsa1826108:29-2112

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