Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 28
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/431) | 83% (338/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/431) | 83% (338/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (106/159) | 62% (53/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, From L. ⚽,
- 23', Buus J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Marcussen G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kristjansson D. F. ↓, Jessen J. ↑,
- 58', Bourhane Y. 🟨,
- 59', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
- 59', Simonsen E. ↓, Lindekilde J. ↑,
- 61', Lausen A. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 61', Bourhane Y. ↓, Vigen L. ↑,
- 70', Troelsen A. 🟨,
- 73', Marcussen G. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
- 75', From L. ↓, Bjur P. ↑,
- 75', Troelsen A. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
- 88', Opondo M. ↓, Buch O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fredericia
54.7% | Draw
22.7% | Esbjerg
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredericia's performance.Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredericia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fredericia - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.99) |
4.15 ↑
(3.9) |
4.17 ↑
(3.31) |
6.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fredericia - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fredericia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 5.
- Fredericia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Esbjerg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Fredericia is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Fredericia to win the game is with odds 1.71.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:21 (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against Esbjerg?
Fredericia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Fredericia?
Esbjerg has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredericia - Esbjerg were as follows:
22.04.2025
Esbjerg
-
Fredericia
0:2
19.10.2024
Esbjerg
-
Fredericia
0:3
11.08.2024
Fredericia
-
Esbjerg
4:0
Latest results of Fredericia
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Kolding IF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Lyngby | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Hvidovre IF | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | B.93 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Hobro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Koge | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
