Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 31
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (453/525) | 87% (487/559) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (453/525) | 87% (487/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/125) | 71% (90/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.97 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Lusavec K. 🟨,
- 33', Frederiksen E. (Pen),
- 44', Ngabo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Marcussen G. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Rieper F. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
- 61', Delac M. 🟨,
- 62', Karikari K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 62', Lusavec K. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
- 62', Ngabo S. ↓, Asgeir G. G. ↑,
- 69', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
- 73', Kudsk J. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 2, Simonsen E. ⚽, Lindekilde J. (A),
- 77', Roslyng F. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
- 77', Frederiksen E. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
- 77', Lindekilde J. ↓, Jessen J. ↑,
- 77', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
- 83', Kudsk J. ↓, Andersen A. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Simonsen E. ⚽,
- 90', Christensen F. 🟨,
- 90', Madsen W. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Horsens
33.2% | Draw
25.4% | Fredericia
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredericia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredericia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Horsens - Fredericia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.5) |
3.67 ↑
(3.57) |
2.27 ↓
(2.58) |
6.9%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Horsens - Fredericia?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fredericia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Fredericia is Qualified for Superliga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.
- In recent matches, Horsens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fredericia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Fredericia?
Horsens has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against Horsens?
Fredericia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Fredericia were as follows:
10.04.2025
Fredericia
-
Horsens
5:1
05.10.2024
Fredericia
-
Horsens
1:2
21.07.2024
Horsens
-
Fredericia
1:3
10.11.2023
Horsens
-
Fredericia
1:1
22.08.2023
Fredericia
-
Horsens
2:0
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of Fredericia
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Kolding IF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Lyngby | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Hvidovre IF | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | B.93 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Hobro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Koge | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
