Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 31
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.48 | 1.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (453/525) | 87% (487/559) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.48 | 1.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.45 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
86% (453/525) | 87% (487/559) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (21/42) | 56% (25/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (92/125) | 71% (90/126) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 1.20 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.03 | 0.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.97 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Lusavec K. 🟨,
- 33', Frederiksen E. (Pen),
- 44', Ngabo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Marcussen G. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Rieper F. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
- 61', Delac M. 🟨,
- 62', Karikari K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 62', Lusavec K. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
- 62', Ngabo S. ↓, Asgeir G. G. ↑,
- 69', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
- 73', Kudsk J. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 2, Simonsen E. ⚽, Lindekilde J. (A),
- 77', Roslyng F. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
- 77', Frederiksen E. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
- 77', Lindekilde J. ↓, Jessen J. ↑,
- 77', Bondergaard A. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
- 83', Kudsk J. ↓, Andersen A. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Simonsen E. ⚽,
- 90', Christensen F. 🟨,
- 90', Madsen W. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Horsens 33.2% | Draw 25.4% | Fredericia 41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredericia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredericia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Horsens - Fredericia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↑ (2.5) |
3.67 ↑ (3.57) |
2.27 ↓ (2.58) |
6.9% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Horsens - Fredericia?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fredericia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Fredericia is Qualified for Superliga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.
- In recent matches, Horsens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fredericia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Fredericia?
Horsens has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against Horsens?
Fredericia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Fredericia were as follows:
10.04.2025
Fredericia
-
Horsens
5:1
05.10.2024
Fredericia
-
Horsens
1:2
21.07.2024
Horsens
-
Fredericia
1:3
10.11.2023
Horsens
-
Fredericia
1:1
22.08.2023
Fredericia
-
Horsens
2:0
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of Fredericia
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lyngby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Hillerod | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Kolding IF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Koge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
5 | Esbjerg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
6 | Horsens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Aalborg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
8 | B.93 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
9 | Hobro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
10 | Hvidovre IF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
11 | Middelfart | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
12 | Aarhus Fremad | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )