Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 0.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (460/546) | 69% (191/276) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 0.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.94 | 0.41 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (460/546) | 69% (191/276) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (22/50) | 46% (37/80) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (155/199) | 53% (46/87) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.62 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.41 | 0.94 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.41 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Kornvig E. ⚽, Gudmundsson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Mathisen U. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 66', Woledzi M. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 75', Holm N. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
- 75', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
- 77', Borsheim M. 🟨,
- 78', Sorlokk S. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
- 78', Owusu S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 87', Molde S. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
- 87', Owusu L. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brann 65.9% | Draw 20.8% | Fredrikstad 13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brann - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.65) |
4.8 ↑ (4.45) |
7.68 ↑ (4.7) |
0.7% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brann - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 3.
- Brann is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fredrikstad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brann is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E.
(Yellow Cards)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Leg Injury)
Ohlenschlaeger O.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Brann will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brann won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Fredrikstad?
Brann has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Brann?
Fredrikstad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Fredrikstad were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
3:0
18.08.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
0:4
07.04.2024
Brann
-
Fredrikstad
0:2
22.10.2022
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
1:3
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
2 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 61:20 | 41 | 52 |
3 | Brann | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rosenborg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 32 |
10 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
14 | Bryne | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
16 | Haugesund | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14:61 | -47 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen