Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/546) | 69% (191/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/546) | 69% (191/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 46% (37/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (155/199) | 53% (46/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Kornvig E. ⚽, Gudmundsson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Mathisen U. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 66', Woledzi M. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 75', Holm N. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
- 75', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
- 77', Borsheim M. 🟨,
- 78', Sorlokk S. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
- 78', Owusu S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 87', Molde S. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
- 87', Owusu L. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brann 65.9% | Draw 20.8% | Fredrikstad 13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brann - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.65) |
4.8 ↑ (4.45) |
7.68 ↑ (4.7) |
0.7% (4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brann - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 3.
- Brann is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fredrikstad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brann is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E.
(Yellow Cards)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Leg Injury)
Ohlenschlaeger O.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Brann will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brann won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Fredrikstad?
Brann has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Brann?
Fredrikstad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Fredrikstad were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
3:0
18.08.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
0:4
07.04.2024
Brann
-
Fredrikstad
0:2
22.10.2022
Fredrikstad
-
Brann
1:3
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 66:34 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | Brann | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Tromso | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Sandefjord | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 44:44 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 34 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Kristiansund | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:46 | -17 | 31 |
| 12 | Molde | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | HamKam | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Bryne | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 20 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen