Brann vs Fredrikstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Brann - Fredrikstad
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 19

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.38
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
84% (460/546)69% (191/276)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.41
Total shots
178
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
4216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
89
Passes
84% (460/546)69% (191/276)
Long passes
44% (22/50)46% (37/80)
Passes in final third
78% (155/199)53% (46/87)
Crosses
37% (7/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.59
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
98
Tackles
64% (7/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.410.94
Goals prevented
0.41-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Kornvig E. , Gudmundsson E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Mathisen U. , Castro N. ,
  • 66', Woledzi M. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 75', Holm N. , Finne B. ,
  • 75', Gudmundsson E. , Sande M. ,
  • 77', Borsheim M. 🟨,
  • 78', Sorlokk S. , Laghzaoui S. ,
  • 78', Owusu S. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 87', Molde S. , Begby L. ,
  • 87', Owusu L. , Rafn S. ,

Chances of winning


Brann
65.9%
Draw
20.8%
Fredrikstad
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 21.5% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 20.6% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.
  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brann - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.65)
    4.8
    (4.45)
    7.68
    (4.7)
    0.7%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Brann - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 3.
    • Brann is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fredrikstad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brann is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E. (Yellow Cards) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Ohlenschlaeger O. (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Brann will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brann won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Fredrikstad - Brann 3:0
    18.08.2024 Fredrikstad - Brann 0:4
    07.04.2024 Brann - Fredrikstad 0:2
    22.10.2022 Fredrikstad - Brann 1:3
    Latest results of Brann
    25.09.2025 Lille - Brann 2:1
    20.09.2025 Sandefjord - Brann 0:3
    17.09.2025 Mjøndalen - Brann 1:5
    13.09.2025 Brann - Vålerenga 3:2
    31.08.2025 Kristiansund - Brann 2:2
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    23.09.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:2
    20.09.2025 Fredrikstad - Bryne 1:1
    13.09.2025 Molde - Fredrikstad 1:2
    31.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Haugesund 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking24165358:322653
    2Bodo/Glimt23164361:204152
    3Brann23144542:33946
    4Tromso24143738:29945
    5Sandefjord231111141:35634
    6Rosenborg2397731:31034
    7Valerenga241041039:40-134
    8KFUM Oslo2489737:29833
    9Sarpsborg 082488840:38232
    10Fredrikstad2488830:28232
    11Molde24931234:32230
    12Kristiansund24861028:45-1730
    13HamKam24671128:38-1025
    14Bryne24661228:39-1124
    15Stromsgodset24621632:51-1920
    16Haugesund24132014:61-476

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen