Result
2:2
31/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 20
- Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (478/558) | 82% (366/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (478/558) | 82% (366/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (43/74) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (140/189) | 65% (73/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Skogvold H. ⚽, Bjartalid J. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Hope M. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 1, Nunez J. ⚽, Shein R. R. (A),
- 35', Shein R. R. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 2, Metcalfe P. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bjartalid J. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 63', Rafn S. ↓, Molde S. ↑,
- 69', Fischer M. ↓, Kukleci I. ↑,
- 69', Diarra S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 69', Grindhaug A. ↓, Leite B. ↑,
- 77', Niyukuri C. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
- 79', Shein R. R. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
- 82', Owusu S. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
- 85', Nunez J. (Pen),
- 85', Rohd E. ↓, Helgeland E. ↑,
- 90+1', Leite B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Eid D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
70.5% | Draw
18.4% | Haugesund
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-25.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredrikstad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fredrikstad - Haugesund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.32) |
5.13 ↓
(5.4) |
8.57 ↓
(9.45) |
4.5%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Haugesund?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Haugesund will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Fredrikstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fredrikstad is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Haugesund: Bondhus A.
(Broken collarbone)
Espejord R.
(Thigh Injury)
Nyhammer T.
(Knee Injury)
Samuelsen M.
(Hip Injury)
Solheim V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Haugesund: Diarra S.
(Injury)
Fischer M.
(Injury)
Karlsen H. V.
(Knock)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Haugesund?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haugesund won against Fredrikstad?
Haugesund has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Haugesund were as follows:
27.04.2025
Haugesund
-
Fredrikstad
0:0
25.08.2024
Haugesund
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
14.08.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Haugesund
1:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 45 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49:27 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Brann | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Valerenga | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 36:28 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Molde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | HamKam | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Bryne | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 13 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12:51 | -39 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
