Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 21
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (501/583) | 73% (218/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (501/583) | 73% (218/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 44% (33/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (182/232) | 61% (60/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (13/41) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Molde S. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
- 35', Haugan E. 🟨,
- 45+6', Abdullai J. 🟨,
- 45+6', Ohlenschlaeger O. (Pen),
- 45+6', 0 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abdullai J. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
- 46', Christensen J. ↓, Daga D. ↑,
- 60', Borsheim M. 🟨,
- 61', Sorlokk S. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 63', Kabini S. 🟨,
- 71', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
- 71', Zady C. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
- 72', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 82', Skogvold H. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 82', Owusu S. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
- 85', Eikrem M. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Risa B. (A),
- 90+4', Eid D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Molde
48.4% | Draw
26.6% | Fredrikstad
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Molde - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.75) |
3.75 ↓
(3.9) |
4.04 ↓
(4.38) |
-1.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Molde - Fredrikstad?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Molde (votes: 1 - 50%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Molde will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 2.
- Molde is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fredrikstad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Molde is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K.
(Groin Injury)
Roaldsoy A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Birkso V.
(Knock)
Yrga-Alem F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Molde: Daehli M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Molde won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Fredrikstad?
Molde has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Molde?
Fredrikstad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molde - Fredrikstad were as follows:
12.07.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Molde
4:2
07.12.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Molde
1:0
14.09.2024
Molde
-
Fredrikstad
6:1
13.07.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Molde
0:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
| 2 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | Brann | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 35 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Bryne | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
