Fredrikstad vs Molde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Fredrikstad - Molde
Result
4:2
12/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 13
  • Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, SportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.89
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (275/352)86% (425/493)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.851.25
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
85
Passes
78% (275/352)86% (425/493)
Long passes
50% (26/52)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
62% (82/132)72% (88/123)
Crosses
30% (8/27)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.09
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
58
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1540
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.251.85
Goals prevented
0.27-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Hestad E. , Oyvann C. (A),
  • 9', Owusu L. 🟨,
  • 44', Kaasa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Kaasa M. , Eikrem M. ,
  • 58', Shein R. R. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 58', Owusu L. , Skogvold H. ,
  • 61', Gulbrandsen F. , Berisha V. ,
  • 61', Hestad E. , Stenevik H. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Rafn S. (Own goal),
  • 72', Holten E. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 77', Linnes M. , Daga D. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Haugan E. (Own goal),
  • 85', Kabini S. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. , Skogvold H. (A),
  • 89', Oyvann C. , Bjornbak M. ,
  • 90+2', Eid D. , Skaret B. ,
  • 90+8', Haugan E. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 4 - 2, Daga D. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Fredrikstad
37.2%
Draw
28.3%
Molde
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 27.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Fredrikstad - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.65)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    2.75
    (2.53)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Molde will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 45.2%82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 25%). Molde (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Kvile S. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K. (Knee Injury) Kabini S. (Inactive) Zady C. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Amundsen I. (Inactive) Eikrem M. (Groin Injury) Hestad E. (Injury) Linnes M. (Injury) Nyheim G. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Molde were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Fredrikstad - Molde 1:0
    14.09.2024 Molde - Fredrikstad 6:1
    13.07.2024 Fredrikstad - Molde 0:0
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    05.07.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:1
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    01.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    28.05.2025 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 0:2
    Latest results of Molde
    05.07.2025 Tromsø - Molde 1:0
    22.06.2025 Vålerenga - Molde 2:3
    15.06.2025 Molde - Värnamo 2:3
    01.06.2025 Molde - Viking Stavanger 0:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking17113342:241836
    2Tromso14101327:18931
    3Brann1693427:24330
    4Bodo/Glimt1492332:131929
    5Rosenborg1676319:16327
    6Fredrikstad1774623:20325
    7Sandefjord1480628:181024
    8Sarpsborg 081457223:14922
    9Kristiansund1654718:26-819
    10KFUM Oslo1453620:19118
    11Valerenga1553720:20018
    12Bryne1453620:24-418
    13Molde1552822:23-117
    14HamKam1435614:25-1114
    15Stromsgodset15201319:36-176
    16Haugesund1502135:39-342

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen