Fredrikstad vs Molde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Fredrikstad - Molde
Result
4:2
12/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 13
  • Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, SportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.89
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (275/352)86% (425/493)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.851.25
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
85
Passes
78% (275/352)86% (425/493)
Long passes
50% (26/52)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
62% (82/132)72% (88/123)
Crosses
30% (8/27)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.09
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
58
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1540
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.251.85
Goals prevented
0.27-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Hestad E. , Oyvann C. (A),
  • 9', Owusu L. 🟨,
  • 44', Kaasa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Kaasa M. , Eikrem M. ,
  • 58', Shein R. R. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 58', Owusu L. , Skogvold H. ,
  • 61', Gulbrandsen F. , Berisha V. ,
  • 61', Hestad E. , Stenevik H. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Rafn S. (Own goal),
  • 72', Holten E. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 77', Linnes M. , Daga D. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Haugan E. (Own goal),
  • 85', Kabini S. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. , Skogvold H. (A),
  • 89', Oyvann C. , Bjornbak M. ,
  • 90+2', Eid D. , Skaret B. ,
  • 90+8', Haugan E. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 4 - 2, Daga D. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Fredrikstad
37.2%
Draw
28.3%
Molde
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 27.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Fredrikstad - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.65)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    2.75
    (2.53)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Molde will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 45.2%82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 25%). Molde (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Kvile S. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K. (Knee Injury) Kabini S. (Inactive) Zady C. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Amundsen I. (Inactive) Eikrem M. (Groin Injury) Hestad E. (Injury) Linnes M. (Injury) Nyheim G. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Molde were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Fredrikstad - Molde 1:0
    14.09.2024 Molde - Fredrikstad 6:1
    13.07.2024 Fredrikstad - Molde 0:0
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    05.07.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:1
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    01.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    28.05.2025 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 0:2
    Latest results of Molde
    05.07.2025 Tromsø - Molde 1:0
    22.06.2025 Vålerenga - Molde 2:3
    15.06.2025 Molde - Värnamo 2:3
    01.06.2025 Molde - Viking Stavanger 0:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking19133347:262142
    2Bodo/Glimt18123344:172739
    3Brann17103431:25633
    4Tromso17103429:23633
    5Rosenborg1886424:21330
    6Sandefjord1790833:24927
    7Fredrikstad1875623:20326
    8KFUM Oslo1774629:20925
    9Molde1772825:23223
    10Sarpsborg 081757528:24422
    11Valerenga1763824:28-421
    12Bryne1754821:29-819
    13Kristiansund1754818:31-1319
    14HamKam1745818:29-1117
    15Stromsgodset17301421:37-169
    16Haugesund1812158:46-385

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          Eliteserien (Relegation)
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