Result
0:2
28/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 18
- Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (296/351) | 88% (462/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (296/351) | 88% (462/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 76% (81/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Saeter O. ⚽, Zeidan M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Metcalfe P. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 62', Saeter O. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
- 66', Sorlokk S. ↓, Ohlenschlaeger O. ↑,
- 70', Holm N. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
- 81', Woledzi M. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 81', Molde S. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
- 85', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Broholm M. ⚽, Racic L. (A),
- 90+4', Selnaes O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
35.2% | Draw
29.1% | Rosenborg
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fredrikstad - Rosenborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.85) |
3.25 ↓
(3.45) |
2.68 ↑
(2.33) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Rosenborg?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2.
- Recent performances by Fredrikstad have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rosenborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J.
(Knock)
Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Reitan-Sunde J.
(Inactive)
Sahsah N.
(Knee Injury)
Volden H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Rosenborg?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Fredrikstad?
Rosenborg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Rosenborg were as follows:
05.04.2025
Rosenborg
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
27.07.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Rosenborg
2:2
02.06.2024
Rosenborg
-
Fredrikstad
1:1
01.05.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Rosenborg
1:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Rosenborg
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:20 | 39 | 49 |
| 2 | Viking | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Brann | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromso | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37:33 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bryne | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | HamKam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12:56 | -44 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
