Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 18
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.26
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (296/351)88% (462/525)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.62
Total shots
911
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (296/351)88% (462/525)
Long passes
49% (23/47)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)76% (81/106)
Crosses
27% (6/22)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.93
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1012
Tackles
61% (11/18)83% (5/6)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.620.04
Goals prevented
-0.380.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Saeter O. , Zeidan M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Metcalfe P. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 62', Saeter O. , Thorvaldsson I. ,
  • 66', Sorlokk S. , Ohlenschlaeger O. ,
  • 70', Holm N. , Islamovic D. ,
  • 81', Woledzi M. , Faraas B. ,
  • 81', Molde S. , Begby L. ,
  • 85', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 0 - 2, Broholm M. , Racic L. (A),
  • 90+4', Selnaes O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fredrikstad
35.2%
Draw
29.1%
Rosenborg
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 27.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.9% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fredrikstad - Rosenborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.85)
    3.25
    (3.45)
    2.68
    (2.33)
    5.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Rosenborg?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 31%73.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fredrikstad (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Fredrikstad (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Rosenborg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Rosenborg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Rosenborg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Rosenborg (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2.
    • Recent performances by Fredrikstad have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rosenborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J. (Knock) Kvile S. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosenborg: Reitan-Sunde J. (Inactive) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury) Volden H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Rosenborg were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 1:0
    27.07.2024 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 2:2
    02.06.2024 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 1:1
    01.05.2024 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 1:0
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    24.05.2025 Bryne - Fredrikstad 4:3
    11.05.2025 Kristiansund - Fredrikstad 0:1
    07.05.2025 Pors - Fredrikstad 1:3
    Latest results of Rosenborg
    24.05.2025 Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg 4:0
    20.05.2025 Kongsvinger - Rosenborg 2:3
    16.05.2025 Rosenborg - Haugesund 1:0
    11.05.2025 Brann - Rosenborg 0:0
    07.05.2025 Tromsdalen - Rosenborg 0:5
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aalesund00000:000
    2Brann00000:000
    3Molde00000:000
    4Fredrikstad00000:000
    5HamKam00000:000
    6Tromso00000:000
    7Rosenborg00000:000
    8Viking00000:000
    9Valerenga00000:000
    10Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    11Lillestrom00000:000
    12Sandefjord00000:000
    13Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    14Start00000:000
    15KFUM Oslo00000:000
    16Kristiansund00000:000

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