Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 9
- Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
 Serbia | SportKlub 7 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 74% (303/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 74% (303/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 38% (33/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (133/187) | 60% (94/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Shein R. R. 🟨,
- 45', Ohlenschlaeger O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Berget J. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 68', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 72', Koch M. 🟨,
- 73', Jeahze M. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
- 78', Shein R. R. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Sorlokk S. ⚽,
- 82', Michelsen C. 🟨,
- 87', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 87', Eid D. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
- 88', Tangen H. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 88', Sanyang A. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
- 88', Christiansen S. ↓, Haheim-Elveseter M. ↑,
- 90+11', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽, Koch M. (A),
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
41.7% | Draw
27.2% | Sarpsborg 08
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fredrikstad's form might have worsened.Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fredrikstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.
- Fredrikstad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:29. (average 0.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Sarpsborg 08?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Fredrikstad?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
28.09.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
13.04.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:2
18.03.2023
Fredrikstad
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:1
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:20 | 39 | 49 |
| 2 | Viking | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Brann | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromso | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37:33 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bryne | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | HamKam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12:56 | -44 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
