Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 6
- Referee: Kringstad M. S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/396) | 84% (462/551) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/396) | 84% (462/551) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (31/71) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 56% (53/95) | 81% (154/190) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (5/15) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.65 | 1.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (10/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.28 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Christiansen P. ⚽, Fuglestad N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, Stensness G. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
- 63', Holme F. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
- 63', Skogvold H. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
- 70', Fuglestad N. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
- 70', Bell J. ↓, Moi T. ↑,
- 75', Sorlokk S. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 78', Askildsen K. 🟨,
- 89', Kvia-Egeskog S. ↓, Visted O. ↑,
- 89', Tripic Z. ↓, Baertelsen A. ↑,
- 90', Heggheim H. ↓, Bjorshol S. ↑,
- 90', Owusu L. ↓, Okpaleke K. ↑,
- 90+5', Moi T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad 20% | Draw 22.1% | Viking Stavanger 57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fredrikstad's form might have worsened.Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.72 ↑ (3.81) |
4.3 ↑ (3.76) |
1.64 ↓ (1.93) |
5.5% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Viking Stavanger will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.
- Recent performances by Fredrikstad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Viking is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Viking has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Viking is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Viking: Berisha V.
(Leg Injury)
Ostbo A.
(Leg Injury)
Roseth M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Holme F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Viking: Austbo E.
(Groin Injury)
Vevatne V.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Viking Stavanger?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Viking Stavanger won against Fredrikstad?
Viking Stavanger has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
23.11.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Viking Stavanger
0:1
22.06.2025
Viking Stavanger
-
Fredrikstad
3:0
01.03.2025
Viking Stavanger
-
Fredrikstad
2:0
22.09.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Viking Stavanger
3:2
21.04.2024
Viking Stavanger
-
Fredrikstad
1:1
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Viking Stavanger
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Viking | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | HamKam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brann | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Kristiansund | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen