Frei Paulistano vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Frei Paulistano - Confiança
Result
0:1
18/02/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO SERGIPANO - ROUND 6

Chances of winning


Frei Paulistano
6.5%
Draw
17.5%
Confiança
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 23.5% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 23.2% 62%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frei Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frei Paulistano's form might have worsened.
  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Confiança's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frei Paulistano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Confiança, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Frei Paulistano - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.01
    (5.92)
    5.21
    (3.84)
    1.2
    (1.47)
    10%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 0.
    • Frei Paulistano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Confiança is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Confiança is absolute favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8-31.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Frei Paulistano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-15.
    Latest results of Frei Paulistano
    Latest results of Confiança
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1