Result
1:2
25/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Kehl M. ⚽,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Osee Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 2, Gouras M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Homburg
48.5% | Draw
24.7% | Freiberg
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Homburg's form might have worsened.Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiberg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Freiberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Homburg - Freiberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.63) |
3.73 ↓
(3.91) |
3.45 ↓
(4.6) |
8.4%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).
- Homburg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Freiberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Homburg is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Homburg to win the game is with odds 1.65.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Homburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Homburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Freiberg?
Homburg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Homburg?
Freiberg has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Freiberg were as follows:
26.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:0
03.04.2024
Homburg
-
Freiberg
0:3
30.09.2023
Freiberg
-
Homburg
2:1
10.12.2022
Homburg
-
Freiberg
5:1
Latest results of Homburg
Latest results of Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grossaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Freiberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Offenbach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Steinbach Haiger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Stutt. Kickers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kassel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FC 08 Homburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mainz II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Walldorf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Eintracht Trier | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sandhausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Bahlinger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Freiburg II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Alzenau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Balingen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
