Homburg vs Freiberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Homburg - Freiberg
Result
1:2
25/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Kehl M. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Osee Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 2, Gouras M. ,

Chances of winning


Homburg
48.5%
Draw
24.7%
Freiberg
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 23.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 22.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Homburg's form might have worsened.
  • Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiberg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Freiberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Homburg - Freiberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.63)
    3.73
    (3.91)
    3.45
    (4.6)
    8.4%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).
    • Homburg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Freiberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Homburg is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Homburg to win the game is with odds 1.65.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Homburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Homburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Freiberg were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Freiberg - Homburg 1:0
    03.04.2024 Homburg - Freiberg 0:3
    30.09.2023 Freiberg - Homburg 2:1
    10.12.2022 Homburg - Freiberg 5:1
    Latest results of Homburg
    19.04.2025 FSV Frankfurt - Homburg 0:3
    01.04.2025 Homburg - Göppinger 2:1
    29.03.2025 Astoria Walldorf - Homburg 1:1
    Latest results of Freiberg
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg440014:21212
    2Steinbach Haiger440013:5812
    3Grossaspach430116:799
    4FSV Frankfurt43017:619
    5FC 08 Homburg421114:777
    6Mainz II42116:427
    7Stutt. Kickers42115:6-17
    8Offenbach42025:6-16
    9Kassel41126:514
    10Walldorf41127:8-14
    11Freiburg II41129:12-34
    12Eintracht Trier41127:10-34
    13Alzenau41124:8-44
    14Fulda-Lehnerz41037:8-13
    15Schott Mainz41037:11-43
    16Sandhausen41036:11-53
    17Bahlinger41034:11-73
    18Balingen41034:14-103

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