Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Mendler M. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Grobelnik G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 1 - 2, Qenaj A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Freiberg
48.1% | Draw
23.8% | Homburg
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Freiberg - Homburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.53) |
3.84 ↓
(4.48) |
3.24 ↓
(5.61) |
8.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 4.
- Freiberg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Homburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Freiberg is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Freiberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Homburg?
Freiberg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Freiberg?
Homburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - Homburg were as follows:
25.04.2025
Homburg
-
Freiberg
1:2
26.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:0
03.04.2024
Homburg
-
Freiberg
0:3
30.09.2023
Freiberg
-
Homburg
2:1
10.12.2022
Homburg
-
Freiberg
5:1
Latest results of Freiberg
Latest results of Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Freiberg | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 34:11 | 23 | 29 |
| 2 | Steinbach Haiger | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Mainz II | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:14 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Walldorf | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Grossaspach | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35:23 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | FC 08 Homburg | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 28:18 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | FSV Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Stutt. Kickers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Kassel | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 16 |
| 11 | Offenbach | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 14 |
| 13 | Sandhausen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22:30 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Freiburg II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 24:33 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | Balingen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 11 |
| 16 | Alzenau | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:31 | -20 | 7 |
| 18 | Schott Mainz | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
