Result
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Homburg
38.3% | Draw
25.4% | Freiberg
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-1%)
Homburg - Freiberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37
(2.37) |
3.57 ↑
(3.56) |
2.5 ↓
(2.53) |
10.1%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 1.
- Homburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Freiberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Freiberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Freiberg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Freiberg?
Homburg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Homburg?
Freiberg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Freiberg were as follows:
04.10.2025
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:2
25.04.2025
Homburg
-
Freiberg
1:2
26.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:0
03.04.2024
Homburg
-
Freiberg
0:3
30.09.2023
Freiberg
-
Homburg
2:1
Latest results of Homburg
Latest results of Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Freiberg | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 58 |
| 2 | Grossaspach | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 74:37 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Mainz II | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:34 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 58:32 | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | FSV Frankfurt | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 45 |
| 6 | Stutt. Kickers | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Walldorf | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kassel | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 46:40 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | Steinbach Haiger | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 54:49 | 5 | 41 |
| 10 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 39 |
| 11 | Sandhausen | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 41:47 | -6 | 39 |
| 12 | Eintracht Trier | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Freiburg II | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 54:62 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Offenbach | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Alzenau | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 33:54 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Balingen | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 29:67 | -38 | 20 |
| 17 | Schott Mainz | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 32:66 | -34 | 19 |
| 18 | Bahlinger | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
