Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Mendler M. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Grobelnik G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 1 - 2, Qenaj A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Freiberg
48.1% | Draw
23.8% | Homburg
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Freiberg - Homburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.53) |
3.85 ↓
(4.48) |
3.27 ↓
(5.61) |
9.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Freiberg - Homburg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Homburg (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Homburg (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Homburg (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 4.
- Freiberg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Homburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Freiberg is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Freiberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Homburg?
Freiberg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Freiberg?
Homburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - Homburg were as follows:
25.04.2025
Homburg
-
Freiberg
1:2
26.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Homburg
1:0
03.04.2024
Homburg
-
Freiberg
0:3
30.09.2023
Freiberg
-
Homburg
2:1
10.12.2022
Homburg
-
Freiberg
5:1
Latest results of Freiberg
Latest results of Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Freiberg | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 51 |
| 2 | Grossaspach | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 66:33 | 33 | 49 |
| 3 | FSV Frankfurt | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Mainz II | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 40:31 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | FC 08 Homburg | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 6 | Stutt. Kickers | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 7 | Walldorf | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sandhausen | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 40:42 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Steinbach Haiger | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 35 |
| 10 | Kassel | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 38:33 | 5 | 33 |
| 12 | Eintracht Trier | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 32 |
| 13 | Freiburg II | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 48:54 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Offenbach | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 29 |
| 15 | Alzenau | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Balingen | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 27:63 | -36 | 19 |
| 17 | Schott Mainz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 25:57 | -32 | 13 |
| 18 | Bahlinger | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22:54 | -32 | 13 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
