Result
2:1
10/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 10
- Referee: Menzel S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/328) | 79% (345/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/328) | 79% (345/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (38/75) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (44/67) | 63% (85/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 26% (9/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Turanyi L. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Fudalla V. ⚽, Bender L. (A),
- 65', Kolb L. ↓, Blumenberg T. ↑,
- 65', Birkholz L. E. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Blumenberg T. ⚽, Egli L. (A),
- 71', Kogel K. ↓, Madl V. ↑,
- 74', Maas M. ↓, Sigurdardottir I. ↑,
- 74', Ojukwu N. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
- 82', Csillag A. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Blumenberg T. ⚽,
- 89', Zdebel S. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
- 89', Voll C. ↓, Moll A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
27.6% | Draw
24.8% | Bayer 04 Leverkusen
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer 04 Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↓
(4.35) |
3.73 ↑
(3.7) |
1.94 ↑
(1.62) |
8.2%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Freiburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bayer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer 04 Leverkusen won against Freiburg?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:
26.01.2025
Freiburg
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1:2
14.12.2024
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
2:0
31.08.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2:3
10.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0:0
15.10.2023
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
-
Freiburg
3:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
