Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 7
- Referee: Boike J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (120/216) | 84% (509/607) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (120/216) | 84% (509/607) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/83) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 66% (118/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 24% (10/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Guttenberger L. ⚽, Lein N. (A),
- 29', Karl L. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Polaskova A. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nachtigall S. ↓, Csillag A. ↑,
- 46', Schneider M. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
- 46', Kolb L. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Wos O. (Own goal),
- 56', 3 - 1, Felde M. (Own goal),
- 64', Licina S. ↓, Mai F. ↑,
- 70', Felde M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
- 72', Miller L. ↓, Mailbeck A. ↑,
- 72', Polaskova A. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
- 84', Stegemann G. ↓, Blumenberg T. ↑,
- 88', Rusek L. 🟨,
- 90', Homann S. ↓, Deuber H. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Egli L. ⚽, Birkholz L. E. (A),
- 90+6', Szenk N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
22.8% | Draw
25.3% | Freiburg
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Nürnberg - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.43) |
3.64 ↑
(3.28) |
1.78 ↓
(1.97) |
8.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Freiburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).
- Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Freiburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Freiburg is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Freiburg?
Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Nürnberg?
Freiburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Freiburg were as follows:
17.03.2024
Nürnberg
-
Freiburg
0:0
21.10.2023
Freiburg
-
Nürnberg
0:2
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
