Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/10/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Bundesliga Women - Round 7
- Referee: Boike J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria | 
|  Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany | 
|  Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.89 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 25% | 75% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 23 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 56% (120/216) | 84% (509/607) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.89 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.69 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 23 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 16 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 20 | 45 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 56% (120/216) | 84% (509/607) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 31% (26/83) | 40% (21/52) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 66% (118/179) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 24% (10/42) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.47 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 16 | 32 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 67% (8/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 39 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 39 | 12 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 16 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.80 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.20 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Guttenberger L. ⚽, Lein N. (A), 
- 29', Karl L. 🟨, 
- 40', 2 - 0, Polaskova A. ⚽, Miller L. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nachtigall S. ↓, Csillag A. ↑, 
- 46', Schneider M. ↓, Bienz A. ↑, 
- 46', Kolb L. ↓, Egli L. ↑, 
- 52', 2 - 1, Wos O. (Own goal), 
- 56', 3 - 1, Felde M. (Own goal), 
- 64', Licina S. ↓, Mai F. ↑, 
- 70', Felde M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑, 
- 72', Miller L. ↓, Mailbeck A. ↑, 
- 72', Polaskova A. ↓, Svensson K. ↑, 
- 84', Stegemann G. ↓, Blumenberg T. ↑, 
- 88', Rusek L. 🟨, 
- 90', Homann S. ↓, Deuber H. ↑, 
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Egli L. ⚽, Birkholz L. E. (A), 
- 90+6', Szenk N. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Nürnberg 22.8%
 | Draw 25.3%
 | Freiburg 51.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nürnberg - Freiburg Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 4.05 ↑ (3.43)
 | 3.64 ↑ (3.28)
 | 1.78 ↓ (1.97)
 | 8.4% (10.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Freiburg?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Freiburg will win 
                    (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).
- Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Freiburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Freiburg is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Freiburg?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Nürnberg?
                    
                    
                        
                             Freiburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Freiburg were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.03.2024 
                                Nürnberg 
                                - 
                                Freiburg 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.10.2023 
                                Freiburg 
                                - 
                                Nürnberg 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nürnberg                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Freiburg                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 19 | 
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 16 | 
| 3 | Hoffenheim W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 | 
| 4 | Freiburg W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 | 
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 | 
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 12 | 
| 7 | Union Berlin W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Koln W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 | 
| 11 | RB Leipzig W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 | 
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 | 
| 13 | Jena W | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 2 | 
| 14 | SGS Essen W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:20 | -18 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women