Freiburg vs SGS Essen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
13/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 13
  • Referee: Kottmann D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.57
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (467/562)58% (151/261)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.23
Total shots
168
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
710
Passes
83% (467/562)58% (151/261)
Long passes
63% (43/68)23% (16/70)
Passes in final third
64% (70/109)36% (25/69)
Crosses
19% (5/26)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.47
Throw-ins
3421
Fouls
107
Tackles
50% (8/16)77% (17/22)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.230.28
Goals prevented
0.230.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Elmazi L. , Kopp L. ,
  • 46', Blumenberg T. , Csillag A. ,
  • 61', Vobian S. , Folmli S. ,
  • 72', Kopp L. 🟨,
  • 78', Egli L. , Kolb L. ,
  • 78', Schneider M. , Ojukwu N. ,
  • 82', Kowalski N. , Terlinden J. ,
  • 90', Van Belle S. , Buonarroti T. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
53.4%
Draw
23.8%
SGS Essen
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 22.7% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 23.8% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • SGS Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Freiburg - SGS Essen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.59)
    3.85
    (4)
    4.01
    (4.47)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - SGS Essen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SGS Essen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
    • In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • SGS Essen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SGS Essen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - SGS Essen were as follows:
    02.05.2025 SGS Essen - Freiburg 0:0
    15.11.2024 Freiburg - SGS Essen 1:0
    05.05.2024 Freiburg - SGS Essen 0:1
    09.12.2023 SGS Essen - Freiburg 0:1
    12.03.2023 SGS Essen - Freiburg 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    05.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    22.11.2025 Freiburg - Carl Zeiss Jena 3:0
    15.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    06.11.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Freiburg 2:1
    Latest results of SGS Essen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W18171071:66552
    2Wolfsburg W17122353:262738
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W18103544:311333
    4Hoffenheim W18102633:231032
    5Bayer Leverkusen W19101829:28131
    6Werder Bremen W1785424:22229
    7Freiburg W1983832:31127
    8Koln W1974823:24-125
    9Union Berlin W1964928:36-822
    10RB Leipzig W19631030:38-821
    111.FC Nurnberg W19541026:47-2119
    12Hamburger SV W19351121:45-2414
    13SGS Essen W19261116:41-2512
    14Jena W18231316:48-329

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