Freiburg vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

Bundesliga - Round 10
Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Nova Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.60
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
87% (503/579)	75% (284/377)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.28	0.82
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
13	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
87% (503/579)	75% (284/377)
Long passes
42% (24/57)	27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
61% (69/114)	55% (53/96)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	1.05
Throw-ins
17	23
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
50% (5/10)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
49	38
Clearances
20	22
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.82	2.28
Goals prevented
-0.18	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
58', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
59', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
59', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
59', Kaars M. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
68', Sands J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Oppie L. ⚽, Metcalfe C. (A),
71', Suzuki Y. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
81', Eggestein M. 🟨,
82', Metcalfe C. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
82', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
84', Beste J. 🟨,
84', Sinani D. 🟨,
88', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
90+3', Fujita J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Freiburg
52.2%

Draw
26.4%

St. Pauli
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Freiburg - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	4.48 ↑ (4.21)	4.1% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Freiburg - St. Pauli?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
Freiburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
St. Pauli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Pyrka A. (Illness)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against St. Pauli?

Freiburg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Freiburg?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - St. Pauli were as follows:

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1

28.09.2024 Freiburg - St. Pauli 0:3

19.10.2022 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1

Latest results of Freiburg

06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg 1:3 ✺

26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0 ✺

23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

01.11.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:4 ✺

28.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	23	19	3	1	85:21	64	60
2	Dortmund	23	15	7	1	49:22	27	52
3	Hoffenheim	23	14	4	5	49:30	19	46
4	Stuttgart	23	13	4	6	44:32	12	43
5	RB Leipzig	23	12	5	6	44:32	12	41
6	Bayer Leverkusen	22	12	3	7	43:28	15	39
7	Freiburg	23	9	6	8	34:37	-3	33
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	23	8	7	8	46:49	-3	31
9	Union Berlin	23	7	7	9	29:37	-8	28
10	Augsburg	23	8	4	11	28:41	-13	28
11	Hamburger SV	22	6	8	8	25:32	-7	26
12	FC Koln	23	6	6	11	33:39	-6	24
13	Mainz	23	5	7	11	26:38	-12	22
14	B. Monchengladbach	23	5	7	11	26:39	-13	22
15	Wolfsburg	23	5	5	13	33:49	-16	20
16	St. Pauli	23	5	5	13	22:40	-18	20
17	Werder Bremen	23	4	7	12	23:44	-21	19
18	Heidenheim	23	3	5	15	22:51	-29	14

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga