Freiburg vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Nova Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.60
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
87% (503/579)75% (284/377)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.82
Total shots
87
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
128
Passes
87% (503/579)75% (284/377)
Long passes
42% (24/57)27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
61% (69/114)55% (53/96)
Crosses
13% (2/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.05
Throw-ins
1723
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (5/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.822.28
Goals prevented
-0.180.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. , Beste J. (A),
  • 58', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 59', Adamu J. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 59', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 59', Kaars M. , Hountondji A. ,
  • 68', Sands J. , Irvine J. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Oppie L. , Metcalfe C. (A),
  • 71', Suzuki Y. , Osterhage P. ,
  • 81', Eggestein M. 🟨,
  • 82', Metcalfe C. , Sinani D. ,
  • 82', Mets K. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 84', Beste J. 🟨,
  • 84', Sinani D. 🟨,
  • 88', Beste J. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 90+3', Fujita J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Freiburg
52.2%
Draw
26.4%
St. Pauli
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 25.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%

Freiburg - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(1.83)
3.66
(3.75)
4.48
(4.21)
4.1%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Freiburg - St. Pauli?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.93%96.07%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • Freiburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Pauli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Pyrka A. (Illness)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - St. Pauli were as follows:
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    28.09.2024 Freiburg - St. Pauli 0:3
    19.10.2022 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3
    01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0
    23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich14122051:114038
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3RB Leipzig1492329:161329
    4Bayer Leverkusen1482430:191126
    5Hoffenheim1482429:20926
    6Stuttgart1481525:22325
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1473429:29024
    8Union Berlin1453619:23-418
    9Freiburg1445521:23-217
    10FC Koln1444622:23-116
    11B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    12Werder Bremen1444618:28-1016
    13Wolfsburg1443720:24-415
    14Hamburger SV1443715:24-915
    15Augsburg1441917:28-1113
    16St. Pauli1432913:26-1311
    17Heidenheim1432913:30-1711
    18Mainz1414913:26-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga