Result
0:1
15/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 22
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 3 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (425/519) | 80% (355/446) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 53% (54/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 7% (1/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Grifo V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 63', Nemeth D. 🟨,
- 75', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 75', Rohl M. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 82', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 82', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Treu P. (Own goal),
- 90', Nemeth D. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 90+1', Eggestein J. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
- 90+1', Doan R. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
40.1% | Draw
30.2% | Freiburg
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
St. Pauli - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.29) |
3.2 ↓
(3.38) |
3.26 ↑
(3.21) |
3.2%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 19.8% – 57.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S.
(Knee Injury)
Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Guilavogui M.
(Ankle Injury)
Metcalfe C.
(Leg Injury)
Saliakas M.
(Thigh Injury)
Wagner R.
(Thigh Injury)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M.
(Back Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Muslija F.
(Ankle Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L.
(Illness)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Freiburg?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against St. Pauli?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Freiburg were as follows:
28.09.2024
Freiburg
-
St. Pauli
0:3
19.10.2022
Freiburg
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
