St. Pauli vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	2.04
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
79% (343/432)	85% (383/451)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	2.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.17	3.23
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
6	13
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	3
Free kicks
6	9
Passes
79% (343/432)	85% (383/451)
Long passes
31% (14/45)	58% (30/52)
Passes in final third
65% (92/142)	68% (72/106)
Crosses
40% (6/15)	50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.86
Throw ins
16	16
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
73% (11/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
39	39
Clearances
23	27
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
3.23	1.17
Goals prevented
1.23	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Ando T. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Sinani D. ⚽, Ando T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
46', Ogbus B. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽,
68', Ritzka L. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
69', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Matanovic I. ⚽,
80', Blessin A. 🟨,
84', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
84', Rasmussen M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
86', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
89', Ando T. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
89', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
90+8', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
35.3%

Draw
31.4%

Freiburg
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

St. Pauli - Freiburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.62)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)	4.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Freiburg?

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - St. Pauli (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Pauli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
St. Pauli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Freiburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Freiburg?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against St. Pauli?

Freiburg has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Freiburg were as follows:

09.11.2025 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1

28.09.2024 Freiburg - St. Pauli 0:3

19.10.2022 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

13.03.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Freiburg

19.03.2026 Freiburg - Genk 5:1 ✺

15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

12.03.2026 Genk - Freiburg 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	31	26	4	1	113:32	81	82
2	Dortmund	31	20	7	4	65:31	34	67
3	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	62:38	24	62
4	Stuttgart	31	17	6	8	63:43	20	57
5	Hoffenheim	31	17	6	8	61:45	16	57
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	16	7	8	62:42	20	55
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	11	10	10	56:58	-2	43
8	Freiburg	31	12	7	12	44:52	-8	43
9	Augsburg	31	10	7	14	39:55	-16	37
10	Mainz	31	8	10	13	39:49	-10	34
11	B. Monchengladbach	31	7	11	13	36:50	-14	32
12	Werder Bremen	31	8	8	15	36:54	-18	32
13	Union Berlin	31	8	8	15	35:55	-20	32
14	FC Koln	31	7	10	14	45:53	-8	31
15	Hamburger SV	31	7	10	14	34:50	-16	31
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26:53	-27	26
17	Wolfsburg	31	6	7	18	41:66	-25	25
18	Heidenheim	31	5	7	19	35:66	-31	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

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